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中国沙漠 ›› 2010, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (3): 620-624.

• 生物土壤与生态 • 上一篇    下一篇

塔里木河流域生态经济系统耦合态势分析

吕 晓, 刘新平, 李振波   

  1. 新疆农业大学 经济与管理学院, 新疆 乌鲁木齐 830052
  • 收稿日期:2008-10-07 修回日期:2009-01-18 出版日期:2010-05-20 发布日期:2010-05-20

Coupling Situation of Eco-economic System in Tarim River Basin

L Xiao, LIU Xin-ping, LI Zhen-bo   

  1. College of Economy & Management, Xinjiang Agricultural University, Urumqi 830052, China
  • Received:2008-10-07 Revised:2009-01-18 Online:2010-05-20 Published:2010-05-20

摘要: 在过去50 a里,在资源开发和社会经济发展的同时,塔里木河流域生态环境发生了显著变化,生态与经济的矛盾日益突出。基于系统论视角与生态经济学原理,构建评价指标体系,用宏观流域尺度运用耦合态势定量评价模型对塔里木河流域生态经济系统耦合态势进行了评判。研究结果表明,2001—2005年间,在流域生态经济系统内部,生态环境子系统与社会经济子系统综合指数基本呈同步上升趋势;生态环境子系统的演化速度呈上升趋势,但是一直低于呈下降趋势的社会经济子系统的演化速度;生态经济系统耦合态势由2001—2003年的强烈开发不协调状态逐步调整为2004—2005年的协调发展型。

关键词: 生态经济系统, 耦合态势, 塔里木河流域

Abstract: Ecological environment has changed significantly in the Tarim river basin in the past 50 years along with resources exploration and socio-economic development, and the contradiction between ecological protection and economic development has increasingly become outstanding. Evaluation indices of eco-economic system were established on the base of systematology and ecological economics theory, and the coupling situation of eco-economic system in Tarim river basin was assessed using quantitative evaluation model in the paper. Research result showed that the composite indices of the eco-environment and socio-economic subsystems increased almost simultaneously in Tarim river basin during 2001—2005. The evolution speed of the eco-environment subsystem presented an upward trend, but it's lower than the evolution speed of socio-economic system which presented a downward trend. The coupling situation of eco-economic system changed gradually from the non-conforming status in 2001—2003 to the coordinating status in 2004—2005.

Key words: eco-economic system, the coupling situation, Tarim river basin

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