关键词: 空间自相关, 发展类型, 区域经济, 空间格局, 玛纳斯河流域

Abstract: This article, taking country level as a study cell and combining country GDP and GDP per capita growth patterns, describes the spatial and temporal changes of the diverse economy in Manasi river basin of Xinjiang through the related analysis of ESDA. Result showed that the economy of counties was imbalance and had three patterns in oasis. The counties with high economic level were situated in the Northern Economy Zone of Tianshan Mountains; The counties with low economic level were situated in the edge of desert in the northwest. With the development of economy, the economic disparities of every country did not reduced. In the 8 selected years, the estimate values of Global Morans I reduced, and the signs changed, so it showed that spatial correlation decreased, the disorder of development increased and the order of development reduced during these years. The calculation results of local Morans I indicated that the county economy developed in the oasis, but the development was of spatially imbalance. The countries of LL-quadrant and HH-quadrant development types decreased, while the countries of LH-quadrant and HL-quadrant development types increased.

Key words: spatial association, developmental types, regional economy, spatial pattern, Manasi river basin