并网太阳能光伏电站选址研究述评

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 太阳能光伏发电在能源战略中具有重要地位，太阳能光伏电站位置的选择对发电成本有直接影响，已成为一个亟待解决的重要课题。文中系统阐述了太阳能光伏发电的发展历史及未来趋势，并从并网光伏电站选址的宏观影响因素、微观影响因素以及方法与模型3方面综述了并网光伏电站选址国内外最新的研究进展，并展望了未来的研究重点和发展方向，以期促进中国在该领域的研究，并为政府和企业在太阳能光伏电站选址、建设及长期规划等方面提供参考，达到科学合理建设光伏电站、有效利用太阳能的目的。

关键词: 并网光伏电站, 选址, 宏观影响因素, 微观影响因素, 太阳能资源评估, 方法及模型

Abstract:

Solar photovoltaic power has an important position in energy strategy, and the selection of the optical sites of photovoltaic power plants has a direct impact on the cost of power production, which has become an important topic to be solved urgently. This paper briefly introduces the history and future trend of the solar photovoltaic power use, and then systematically analyzes the latest progress of optical sites selection of solar photovoltaic plants from three aspects, which include the macro influencing factors, the micro influencing factors, and the methods and models of the site selection of solar photovoltaic plants. It also looks forward to the future research and development direction. It is fully loaded with hopes of promoting Chinese research in this field and providing government and enterprises with the reference of the site selection, construction and the long-term planning of solar photovoltaic plants.

Key words: grid-connected photovoltaic plants, site selection, macro factors, micro factors, solar recourse evaluation, methods and models

中图分类号:

X382

肖建华;姚正毅;孙家欢;. 并网太阳能光伏电站选址研究述评[J]. 中国沙漠, 2011, 31(6): 1598-1605.

XIAO Jian-hua;YAO Zheng-yi;SUN Jia-huan;. Review on Optimal Site Selection for Grid-connected Solar Photovoltaic Plants[J]. JOURNAL OF DESERT RESEARCH, 2011, 31(6): 1598-1605.

参考文献

[1]施钰川.太阳能原理与技术[M].陕西:西安交通大学出版社,2009:1-2,63-64.
[2]任东明.化石能源最终会被替代吗?[N/OL].解放日报,2009-11-02.
[3]Carrion J A,Estrella A E,Dols F A.The electricity production capacity of photovoltaic power plants and the selection of solar energy sites in Andalusia (Spain)[J].Renewable Energy,2008,33(4):545-552.
[4]IPCC核心撰写组,Pachauri R K,Reisinger A.气候变化2007综合报告[C].IPCC,Climate Change,2007,2007:3-73.
[5]郑国光.解读《哥本哈根协议》[EB/OL].(2009-12-23)[2010-3-9].http://env.people.com.cn/GB/10634308.html.
[6]温家宝.践行减排承诺,赢得世界尊重[N/OL].人民日报,2009-11-26.
[7]黄汉云.太阳能光伏发电应用原理[M].北京:化学工业出版社,2009:1-3.
[8]邝少平.2009年全球光伏产业发展研究报告[R].北京:中国环境科学出版社,2009:23-64.
[9]European Photovoltaic Industry Association.Global Market Outlook For Photovoltaics Until 2013[R].2009.
[10]李俊峰,王斯成.2007中国光伏发展报告[R].北京:中国环境科学出版社,2007:14-22.
[11]高军武,陶崇勃.国内外太阳能光伏产业市场状况与发展趋势[J].电气技术,2009,8:89-92.
[12]张永伟.推进光伏产业有序发展的建议[J].中国发展评论:中文版,2009,11(3):49-54.
[13]CCID赛迪顾问.太阳能电池技术和产业化趋势分析[J].半导体行业,2009,8:36-39.
[14]康德拉捷夫К Я.太阳辐射能[M].李怀瑾,邹进上,牛天任,等译.北京:科学出版社,1962:511-519:
[15]Wenham S R,Green M A,Watt M E.应用光伏学[M].狄大卫,高兆利,韩见殊,等译.上海:上海交通大学出版社,2008:5-6,29-30,46-51,129-138.
[16]陈淑君.撒哈拉沙漠计划建造世界最大太阳能电厂[EB/OL].(2009-6-24)[2010-4-29].http://news.xinhuanet.com/tech/2009-06/24/content_11591483.htm.
[17]王建军.太阳能光伏发电应用中的温度影响[J].青海师范大学学报,2005(1):28-30.
[18]Griffth J S,Rathod N S,Paslaski J.Some tests of flat plate photovoltaic module cell temperatures in simulated field conditions[C].15th IEEE Photovoltaic Specialists Conference,1981:822-830.
[19]杨金焕.固定式光伏方阵最佳倾角的分析[J].太阳能学报,1992,13(1):86-92.
[20]Hussein H M S,Ahmad G E,El-Ghetany H H.Performance evaluation of photovoltaic modules at different tilt angels and orientations[J].Energy Conversion and Management,2004,45:2441-2452.
[21]吕萍,董治宝,张正偲,等.腾格里沙漠近地面层风、气温、湿度特征[J].中国沙漠,2009,29(5):977-981.
[22]Skoplaki E,Palyvos J A.On the temperature dependence of photovoltaic module electrical performance:a review of efficiency/power correlations[J].Solar Energy,2009,83(5):614-624.
[23]Fukushige S,Ichida K,Minemoto T.Analysis of the temperature history of amorphous silicon photovoltaic module outdoors[J].Solar Energy Materials and Solar Cells,2009,93(6-7):926-931.
[24]Biryukov S.An experimental study of the dry deposition mechanism for airborne dust[J].Journal of Aerosol Science,1998,29(1-2):129-139.
[25]Goossens D,Kerschaever E V.Aeolian dust deposition on photovoltaic solar cells:the effects of wind velocity and airborne dust concentration on cell performance[J].Solar Energy,1999,6(4):277-289.
[26]强明瑞,肖舜,张家武,等.柴达木盆地北部风速对尘暴事件降尘的影响[J].中国沙漠,2007,27(2):290-295.
[27]Santamouris M.Predicting the spectral aerosol transmittance for solar radiation models[J].Solar Energy,1991,10:15-26.
[28]Klminir H K,Rahuma U A,Benda V.Comparison between atmospheric turbidity coefficients of desert and temperate climates[J].Acra Polytechnica,2001,41(2):48-59.
[29]Khoshaim B,Huraib F,Al-Sani A.Performance of 350 kW concerntrating photovoltaic power system after two years[C].5th E.C.photovoltaic solar energy conference,1983:207-214.
[30]Khoshaim B,Huraib F,Al-Sani A.Performance of 350 kW photovoltaic power system for Saudi Arabian villages after 30 months[C].17th IEEE Photovoltaic Specialists Conference,1984:1426-1432.
[31]Katzan C M,Stidhm C R.Lunar dust interactions with photovoltaic arrays[C].22nd IEEE Photovoltaic Specialist Conference,1991:1548-1553.
[32]El-Shobokshy M S,Hussein F M.Effect of dust with different physical properties on the performance of photovoltaic cells[J].Solar Energy,1993,51(6):505-511.
[33]Elminir H K,Ghitas-Ahmed E,Hamid E,et al.Effect of dust on the transparent cover of solar collectors[J].Energy Conversion and Management,2006,47(18-19):3192-3203.
[34]Goossens D,Kerschaever E V.Aeolian dust deposition on photovoltaic solar cells:the effects of wind velocity and airborne dust concentration on cell performance[J].Solar Energy,1999,6(4):277-289.
[35]Goossens D,Offer Z Y.Comparisons of day-time and night-time dust accumulation in a desert region[J].Journal of Arid Environments,1995,31(3):253-281.
[36]Thornton J P.The effect of sandstorms on PV arrays and components[C].The 1992 Solar World Congress,1992.
[37]李晋昌,董治宝,王训明.中国北方东部地区春季降尘量及其环境意义[J].中国沙漠,2008,28(2):195-201.
[38]梁云,刘新春,何清,等.新疆春夏季大气降尘分析[J].中国沙漠,2008,28(5):992-994.
[39]牛生杰,岳平,刘晓云.2004年春夏季两次沙尘暴期间地面气象要素变化特征对比分析[J].中国沙漠,2007,27(6):1067-1071.
[40]Silvestre S,Chouder A.Effect of shadowing on photovoltaic module performance[J].Progress in Photovoltaics:Research and Applications,2008,16(2):141-149.
[41]Di-Piazza M C,Vitale G.Photovoltaic field emulation including dynamic and partial shadow conditions[J].Applied Energy,2010,87(3):814-823.
[42]Woyte A,Nijs J,Belmans R.Partial shadowing of photovoltaic arrays with different system configurations:literature review and field test results[J].Solar Energy,2003,74(3):217-233.
[43]董旭光.山东省太阳能资源评估[D].甘肃:兰州大学,2009:1-4.
[44]Hammer A,Heinemann D,Hoyer C.Solar energy assessment using remote sensing technologies[J].Remote Sensing of Environment,2003,869(3):423-432.
[45]QX/T 89-2008.太阳能资源评估方法[S].2008.
[46]Anstrom A.Solar and terrestrial radiation[J].Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society,1924,50:121-125.
[47]Bennett I.A method for preparing maps of mean daily global radiation[J].Archives for Meteorology, Geophysics, and Bioklimatology Series B,1962,13(2):216-248.
[48]Davies J A.Estimation of insolation for West Africa[J].Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society,1965,91:359-363.
[49]Penman H L.Natural evaporation from open water,bare soil and grass[J].Proceedings of the Royal Society of London,Series A,1948,193:120-145.
[50]左大康,王彭贤,陈建绥.中国地区太阳总辐射的空间分布特征[J].气象学报,1963,33(1):78-96.
[51]翁笃鸣.试论总辐射的气候学计算方法[J].气象学报,1964,34(3):30-31.
[52]王炳忠,张富国,李立贤.我国的太阳能资源及其计算[J].太阳能学报,1980,1:1-19.
[53]高国栋,陆瑜蓉.中国地表面辐射平衡与热量平衡[M].北京:科学出版社,1982:57-74.
[54]孙治安,施俊荣.中国太阳总辐射气候计算方法的进一步研究[J].南京气象学院学报,1992,15(2):21-28.
[55]Munneer T,Gul M S.Evaluation of sunshine and cloud cover based models for generating solar radiation data[J].Energy Conversion and Management,2000,41(5):461-482.
[56]Thornton P E,Running S W.An improved algorithm for estimating incident daily solar radiation from measurements of temperature,humidity and precipitation[J].Agricultural and Forest Meteorology,1999,93(4):211-228.
[57]Winslow J C,Hunt E R,Piper S C.A globally applicable model of daily solar irradiance estimated from air temperature and precipitation data[J].Ecological Modelling,2001,143(3):227-243.
[58]Sozen A,Arcaklioglu E,Ozalp M.Estimation of solar potential in Turkey by artificial neural networks using meteorological and geographical data[J].Energy Conversion and Management,2004,45(18-19):3033-3052.
[59]Tymvios F S,Jacovides C P,Michaelides S C,et al.Comparative study of Angstroms and artificial networks methodologies in estimating global solar radiation[J].Solar Energy,2005,78(6):752-762.
[60]Mellit A,Benghanem M,Arab A H,et al.A simplified model for generating sequences of global solar radiation data for isolated sites:using artificial neural network and library of Markov transition matrices approach[J].Solar Energy,2005,79(5):469-482.
[61]周允华.利用卫星云图对1979年夏季青藏高原侯辐射平衡场的计算[G].青藏高原气象科学实验文集(二),1984:46-52.
[62]钟强,眭金娥.利用NimbuS-7行星反射率观测资料估算青藏高原地区的总辐射[J].气象学报,1989,42(2):165-172.
[63]翁笃鸣,高庆先.应用ISCCP云资料反演青藏高原地面总辐射场[J].南京气象学院学报,1997,1:41-46.
[64]Malik A Q,Mufti A,Hiser H W.Application of geostationary satellite data for determining solar radiations over Pakistan[J].Renewable Energy,1991,1(3-4):455-461.
[65]Schulze-Kegel D,Heidt F D.Mapping of global radiation with METEOSAT[J].Solar Energy,1996,58(1-3):77-90.
[66]Stewrt J B,Watts C J,Rodriguez J C.Use of satellite data to estimate radiation and evaporation for northwest Mexico[J].Agricultural Water Management,1999,38(3):181-193.
[67]王劲峰,孟斌,李连发.中国太阳能热发电站选址模型研究[J].地球信息科学,2007,9(6):43-49.
[68]赵明智,槽式太阳能热发电站微观选址的方法研究[D].呼和浩特:内蒙古工业大学,2009:1-93.
[69]Monteiro C,Saraiva J T.Powering plans in developing countries—the SOLARGIS tool[J].Scientific Literature Digital Library and Search Engine,2008.
[70]Kurokawa K,Komoto K,Van Der Vleuten P,et al.Energy from the desert:Practical proposals for very large scale PV systems[M].London:James and James,2007:130-137.
[71]Aragonés-Beltrn P,Pastor-Ferrando J P,Chaparro-Gonzalez F,et al.Selection of photovoltaic solar power plant projects using ANP[J].Proceedings of the International Symposium on the Analytic Hierarchy Process,2009.
[72]Carrion J A,Estrella A E,Dols F A,et al.Envrionmental decision-support systems for evaluating the carrying capacity of land areas:Optimal site selection for grid-connected photovoltaic power plants[J].Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews,2008,12(9):2358-2380.
[73]王炳忠,邹怀松,殷志强.我国太阳能辐射[J].太阳能,1998,4:19.
[74]冯鑫媛,王式功,程一帆,等.中国北方中西部沙尘暴气候特征[J].中国沙漠,2010,30(2):394-399.
[75]王涛.干旱区绿洲化、荒漠化研究的进展与趋势[J].中国沙漠,2009,29(1):1-9.
[76]严陆光.我国荒漠地区大规模太阳能的开发利用应该起步[J].干旱区地理,2005,28(4):419-423.
[77]严陆光.构建荒漠地区大规模综合能源基地的设想[J].科技导报,2008,26(8):3.
[78]太阳能行动计划执行专家组.《中国科学院太阳能行动计划》指南[R].2009.