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中国沙漠 ›› 1998, Vol. 18 ›› Issue (2): 118-122.

• 研究论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

塔克拉玛干地区近40a来的冷暖变化

袁玉江1,2, 何清1,2, 李江风1,2, 叶玮2   

  1. 1. 新疆气象科学研究所 乌鲁木齐 830002;
    2. 中国科学院新疆地理研究所 乌鲁木齐 830011
  • 收稿日期:1997-07-02 修回日期:1997-11-03 出版日期:1998-06-20 发布日期:1998-06-20
  • 作者简介:袁玉江,男,1955年生,副研究员。现主要从事气候变化、年轮气候及年轮水文学研究。
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金项目(49671009)及"新疆气候变化及短期气候预测综合系统研究"课题共同资助

TEMPERATURE VARIATION IN THE RECENT 40 YEARS IN TAKLIMAKAN AREA

YUAN Yu-jiang1,2, HE Qing1,2, LI Jiang-feng1,2, YE Wei2   

  1. 1. Xinjiang Institute of Meteorology, Wurumqi 830002;
    2. Xinjiang Institute of Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Wurumqi 830011
  • Received:1997-07-02 Revised:1997-11-03 Online:1998-06-20 Published:1998-06-20

摘要: 利用塔克拉玛干地区、周围山区及相邻地区的48个气象站近40a的温度资料,分析塔克拉玛干地区年与四季冷暖变化的阶段、周期、趋势,比较与其周围山区及相邻地区的相关性,探讨与其欧亚环流指数的关系,得到5点统计结论:(1)区域平均温度序列对该区的冷暖变化具有较好的代表性;(2)区域平均温度序列具有各自不同的冷暖阶段及变化周期,其中年温与冬温具有显著的变暖趋势,且变暖的幅度冬季约为年的3倍;(3)与周围山区站的相关性,以托云同步性较好;(4)与相邻地区温度变化的相关性,以甘肃为最好;(5)年温变化与欧亚年平均经向环流指数具有显著的负相关性,其秋季温度与10~11月份的纬向环流指数具有显著的正相关性。

关键词: 塔克拉玛干地区, 现代冷暖变化, 相邻地区, 比较

Abstract: Using the temperature data in recent 40 years of 48 meteorological station, the paper analizes the stage, period and trend of temperature change, and compares the correlation of temperature change in Taklimakan area with around mountains and adjacent areas, and discusses the relationship between Euroasian circulation index and temperature change in the studied area. The results are as follows:(1) The annual and seasonal mean temperature sequences of this area have better reflected the warm-cold changes in the area.(2) The annual and seasonal temperature change have different warm-cold stages and change periods. The temperature change annual and in Winter have significant warming trend and the changing range in Winter is about three times as much as that of the annual. In recent 30 years, the annual temperature has increased 0.54℃ and the Winter temperature has increased 1.7℃.(3) The correlation of the temperature change in Taklimakan area with around mountains and adjacent area is better at Toyun station.(4) The correlation of the temperature change in Taklimakan area with adjacent areas is the best at Gansu province, second at Northern Xinjiang and the worst at Qinghai province. (5) There is significant negative correlation between annual temperature change in Taklimakan area and Euroasian annual mean longitudinal circulation index, and significant positive correlation between autumn temperature change and latitudinal circulation index from October to November.

Key words: Taklimakan area, Modern warm-cold change, Adjacent areas, Comparision

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