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中国沙漠 ›› 2016, Vol. 36 ›› Issue (5): 1426-1434.DOI: 10.7522/j.issn.1000-694X.2015.00128

• 天气与气候 • 上一篇    下一篇

陕西榆林地区1954-2013年极端气温变化特征

陈建宇1, 邵天杰1, 赵景波1,2   

  1. 1. 陕西师范大学 旅游与环境学院, 陕西 西安 710062;
    2. 中国科学院地球环境研究所 黄土与第四纪地质国家重点实验室, 陕西 西安 710075
  • 收稿日期:2015-03-31 修回日期:2015-06-26 出版日期:2016-09-20 发布日期:2016-09-20
  • 通讯作者: 邵天杰(E-mail:tjshao2010@126.com)
  • 作者简介:陈建宇(1992-),男,河北安平人,硕士研究生,从事区域环境学研究。E-mail:812745639@qq.com
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金国际合作重大项目(41210002);黄土与第四纪地质国家重点实验室开放基金课题(SKLLQG1214);陕西省自然科学基础研究计划项目(2016JQ4004)

Extreme Temperature Changes from 1954 to 2013 in Yulin, Shaanxi, China

Chen Jianyu1, Shao Tianjie1, Zhao Jingbo1,2   

  1. 1. College of Tourism and Environment, Shaanxi Normal University, Xi'an 710062, China;
    2. State Key Laboratory and Quaternary Geology, Institute of Earth Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Xi'an 710075, China
  • Received:2015-03-31 Revised:2015-06-26 Online:2016-09-20 Published:2016-09-20

摘要: 对1954-2013年横山站、榆林站、绥德站的每日气象资料,运用线性拟合及累积距平、Mann-Kendall突变检验、主成分分析和Morlet复数小波等方法对WMO发布的10种极端气温指数进行了计算和分析。结果表明:榆林地区近60年极端最高气温、极端最低气温都呈上升趋势,冰日天数、霜日天数、冷夜天数、冷日天数呈下降趋势,夏日天数、热夜天数、暖夜天数、暖日天数呈现稳步上升趋势。近60年,榆林市极端气温的变化存在明显的阶段特征,并有突变现象发生。各指数的突变主要发生在20世纪90年代。暖指数的变化是榆林地区近60年气温呈上升趋势的主要原因。榆林地区冬春季气温升高是年平均气温上升的主要原因。33 a左右的周期是10个指数比较稳定的周期,共同反映榆林地区极端天气的周期规律。极端暖指标在未来持续上升,极端冷指标则持续下降。研究区极端高温天气增加,会导致旱灾等极端天气增加的概率,并对森林防火产生一定的压力。极端低温天数的减少导致易发生森林和草原的病虫灾害,应做好预防工作。

关键词: 极端气温, 榆林地区, 极端气温突变, 周期

Abstract: Using the daily temperature data of weather station of Hengshan, Yulin and Suide from 1954 to 2013, adopting the linear fitting, accumulative anomaly, Morlet complex wavelet analysis, we calculated and analyzed ten kinds of extreme temperature indices released by WMO. Results indicated that the extreme maximum temperature and extreme minimum temperature in Yulin in last 60 years have a escalating trend, but the ice day, frost day, cold night, cold day number decreased, and summer day, hot night, warm night, warm day present steady rising trend. In the past 60 years, the change of extreme temperature in Yulin had obvious change characteristics in phase and the mutation phenomenon. The mutations of the extreme temperature and cold and warm indices mainly occurred in 1990s. The variation of warm indices is the main reason why the temperature of Yulin rose in the last 60 years. The increasing of temperature in spring and winter is the main reason that annual average temperature rose. The 33a cycle is a relatively stable one for the ten kinds of indices in Yulin. Warm extremes and annual temperature range would keep rising while cold extremes would decrease. In the study area, increasing of the extreme high temperature days would have enhance chance of extreme weather such as drought, and will have a pressure on prevention of forest fires. Reducing of extreme low temperature days prone to forest and grassland pests and diseases.

Key words: extreme temperature, Yulin, abrupt change of extreme temperature, period

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