1957-2012年讨赖河流域潜在蒸发量变化

高妍; 冯起; 李宗省; 成爱芳; 苏玉波; 张海娜; 刘铮瑶; 刘科; 马倩倩

doi:10.7522/j.issn.1000-694X.2014.00101

中国沙漠 >

2014 , Vol. 34 >Issue 4: 1125 - 1132

DOI: https://doi.org/10.7522/j.issn.1000-694X.2014.00101

天气与气候

1957-2012年讨赖河流域潜在蒸发量变化

高妍 ,
冯起 ,
李宗省 ,
成爱芳 ,
苏玉波 ,
张海娜 ,
刘铮瑶 ,
刘科 ,
马倩倩

展开

1. 陕西师范大学旅游与环境学院, 陕西西安 710062;
2. 中国科学院寒区旱区环境与工程研究所, 甘肃兰州 730000

高妍（1990-），女，陕西韩城人，硕士研究生，研究方向为生态环境演变与气候变化。Email：18792406581@163.com

收稿日期: 2014-04-10

修回日期: 2014-06-19

网络出版日期: 2014-07-20

基金资助

陕西省“百人计划”项目（2009-03）；陕西师范大学中央高校基本科研业务专项资金项目（GK201101002）；中国科学院重点部署项目（KZZD-EW-04-05）；中国博士后科学基金项目（2012M510219，2013T60899）资助

收起

Potential Evaporation in the Taolaihe River Basin during 1957-2012

Gao Yan ,
Feng Qi ,
Li Zongxing ,
Cheng Aifang ,
Su Yubo ,
Zhang Haina ,
Liu Zhengyao ,
Liu Ke ,
Ma Qianqian

Expand

1. College of Tourism and Environment, Shaanxi Normal University, Xi'an 710062, China;
2. Cold and Arid Regions Environmental and Engineering Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou 730000, China

Received date: 2014-04-10

Revised date: 2014-06-19

Online published: 2014-07-20

Fold

摘要

在气象观测数据基础上，运用数理统计方法对讨赖河流域1957-2012年潜在蒸发量变化的研究表明：（1）讨赖河流域潜在蒸发量的季节变化不尽相同，秋、冬季潜在蒸发量20世纪60、70年代偏少，80、90年代及2000年后偏多；春、夏季潜在蒸发量60、80年代偏高、90年代及2000年以后偏低，年和湿季变化趋势相似，均表现为60-80年代偏低，90年代及2000年以后偏高。（2）就年际变化而言，年和湿季潜在蒸发量的变化趋势较为相似，季节潜在蒸发量均表现为增加趋势，夏季增幅最大，秋季最小。（3）各季节和年序列均存在10～15年的短周期变化及26～28年的长周期变化。（4）流域春、夏、秋、冬以及年和湿季潜在蒸发量分别在1995、2000、1984、1980、1997年和1992年突变增加，并通过了0.01的显著性水平检验；干季潜在蒸发量经历了两次突变增加，分别发生在1980年和1995年。

关键词： 讨赖河; 潜在蒸发量; 突变

本文引用格式

高妍 , 冯起 , 李宗省 , 成爱芳 , 苏玉波 , 张海娜 , 刘铮瑶 , 刘科 , 马倩倩 . 1957-2012年讨赖河流域潜在蒸发量变化[J]. 中国沙漠, 2014 , 34(4) : 1125 -1132 . DOI: 10.7522/j.issn.1000-694X.2014.00101

Abstract

In this paper, using meteorological data of 2 stations during 1957-2012 in the Taolaihe River Basin, we analyzed the inter-decadal and inter-annual change of potential evaporation by linear trends and the 5-year trend of sliding, tested climate mutations on Mann-Kedall method, studied the cycle to climate change in wavelet analysis, the conclusions are following: (1) autumn and winter potential evaporation are relatively lower in 1960s and 1970s, but abundant in 1980s, 1990s and after 2000, while potential evaporation in spring and summer are also abundant during 1960s and 1980s, and lower in 1990s and after 2000. In addition, variation for annual and wet season potential evaporation are relatively lower in 1960s, 1970s and 1980s, but abundant in 1990s and after 2000; (2) variation in annual and wet season potential evaporation tended to increase, which each season potential evaporation also has an obvious increase trend, and the largest increase occurred in summer, autumn followed; (3) seasonal and annual potential evaporation variation, there are about 10-years, 15-years and above 26-28-years of cycle during 1957-2012; (4) mutation increase of the potential evaporation happened in the years of 1995, 2000, 1984, 1980, 1997, 1992 for spring, summer, autumn, winter, annual and wet seasons, and whats more, only the dry season potential evaporation experienced two mutation increase, respectively, in 1980 and 1995.

Key words： Taolaihe River Basin; potential evaporation change; mutation

参考文献

[1] IPCC. Summary for Policymakers of Climate Change 2007:The Physical Science Basis[M].Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Inter Government Panel on Climate Change.Cambridge,UK:Cambridge University Press,2007.
[2] 王绍武,叶瑾琳,龚道溢,等.近百年中国年气温序列的建立[J].应用气象学报,1998,9(4):392-401.
[3] 王遵娅,丁一汇,何金海,等.近50年来中国气候变化特征的再分析[J].气象学报,2004,62(2):228-236.
[4] 任国玉,徐铭志,初子莹,等.近54年中国地面气温变化[J].气候与环境研究,2005,10(4):717-727.
[5] 叶柏生,李翀,杨大庆,等.我国过去50 a来降水变化趋势及其对水资源的影响(I):年系列[J].冰川冻土,2004,26(5):587-594.
[6] 靳立亚,符娇兰,陈发虎.近44年来中国西北降水量变化的区域差异以及对全球变暖的响应[J].地理科学,2005,25(5):567-572.
[7] Peterson T C,Golnbev V S,Groisman P Y.Evaporation losing it strength[J].Nature,1995,377:687-688.
[8] Golubev V,Lawrimore J H,Groisman P Y,et al.Evaporation change over the contiguous United States and the former USSR:a reassessment[J].Geophysical Research Letters,2001,28(13):2665-2668.
[9] Roderick M L.The cause of decreased pan evaporation over the past50years[J].Science,2002,298:1410-1411.
[10] Jun A,Hideyukin K,Lu M.Pan evaporation trends in Japan and its relevance to the variability of the hydrological cycle[J].Tenki,2004,51(9):667-678.
[11] Roderick M L,Farquhar G D.Changes in Australian pan evaporation from 1970 to 2002[J].Climatol,2002,24:1077-1090.
[12] Donald H.Nicole B,Hesch M.Trends in evaporation for the Canadian Prairies[J].Journal of Hydrology,2007,336:61-73.
[13] 左洪超,李栋梁,胡隐樵.近四十年中国气候变化趋势及其同蒸发皿观测的蒸发量变化的关系[J].科学通报,2005,50(11):1125-1130.
[14] 曾燕,邱新法,刘昌明,等.1960-2000年中国蒸发皿蒸发量的气候变化特征[J].水科学进展,2007,18(3):311-318.
[15] Peterson T C,Golubev V S,Groisman P Y.Evaporation losing its strength[J].Nature,1995,377:687-688
[16] Brutsaert W,Parlange M B.Hydrological cycle explain the evaporation paradox[J].Nature,1998,396:30-31.
[17] Roderick M L,Farquhar G D.The cause of decreased pan evaporation over the past 50 years[J].Science,2002,298:1410-1411.
[18] Cohen S,Ianetz A,Stanhill G.Evaporative climate changes at Bet Dagan,Israel 1964-1998[J].Agricultural and Forest Meteorology,20 02,111:83- 91.
[19] 高歌,陈德亮,任国玉,等.1956- 200年中国潜在蒸散量变化趋势[J].地理研究,2006,25(3):378-387.
[20] 尹云鹤,吴绍洪,郑度,等.近30年我国干湿状况变化的区域差异[J].科学通报,2005,50(15):1636-1642.
[21] 郭军,任国玉.黄淮海流域蒸发量的变化及其原因分析[J].水科学进展,2005,16(5):666-672.
[22] 王艳君,姜彤,许崇育.长江流域20 cm蒸发皿蒸发量的时空变化[J].水科学进展,2006,17(6):830-833.
[23] 靳立亚,李静,王新,等.近50年来中国西北地区干湿状况时空分布[J].地理学报,2004,59(6):847-854.
[24] 吴绍洪,尹云鹤,郑度,等.青藏高原近30年气候变化趋势[J].地理学报,2005,60(1):3-11.
[25] Thomas A I.Seasonal and spatial variation of evapotranspiration in the mountains of South west China[J].Journal of Mountain Science,2002,20(4):385-393.
[26] 李林,张国胜,汪青春,等.甘肃省不同气候区蒸发量变化特征及其影响因子研究研究[J].地球科学进展,2000,15(3):256-259.
[27] 苏宏超,魏文寿,韩萍.新疆近50 a来的气温和蒸发变化[J].冰川冻土,2003,25(2):174-178.
[28] 贾文雄,何元庆,王旭峰,等.祁连山及河西走廊潜在蒸发量的时空变化[J].水科学进展,2009,21(2):159-167.
[29] 徐浩杰,杨太宝,柴绍豪.1961-2010年讨赖河山区径流变化特征及其驱动因素[J].中国沙漠,2014,34(3):878-884.
[30] 肖生春,肖洪浪.近百年人类活动对黑河流域水资源的影响[J].干旱区资源与环境,2004,18(3):57-61.
[31] 高妍,冯起,李宗省,等.祁连山讨赖河流域1957-2012年极端气候变化[J].中国沙漠,2014,34(3):814-826.

Options

文章导航

模态框（Modal）标题

摘要

本文引用格式

Abstract

参考文献