气候和人为因素对植被变化影响的评价方法综述

马启民; 贾晓鹏; 王海兵; 李永山; 李劭宁

doi:10.7522/j.issn.1000-694X.2019.00004

中国沙漠 >

2019 , Vol. 39 >Issue 6: 48 - 55

DOI: https://doi.org/10.7522/j.issn.1000-694X.2019.00004

气候和人为因素对植被变化影响的评价方法综述

马启民 ,
贾晓鹏 ,
王海兵 ,
李永山 ,
李劭宁

展开

1. 中国科学院西北生态环境资源研究院沙漠与沙漠化重点实验室, 甘肃兰州 730000;
2. 中国科学院大学, 北京 100049;
3. 内蒙古农业大学沙漠治理学院, 内蒙古呼和浩特 010011

马启民(1985-),男,新疆额敏人,博士研究生,主要从事生态遥感研究。E-mail:maqimin@qq.com

收稿日期: 2018-11-29

修回日期: 2019-01-07

网络出版日期: 2019-11-14

基金资助

中国科学院科技服务网络计划（STS计划）项目（29Y829E31）

收起

Recent Advances in Driving Mechanisms of Climate and Anthropogenic Factors on Vegetation Change

Ma Qimin ,
Jia Xiaopeng ,
Wang Haibing ,
Li Yongshan ,
Li Shaoning

Expand

1. Key Laboratory of Desert and Desertification, Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou 730000, China;
2. University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China;
3. College of Desert Control Science and Engineering, Inner Mongolia Agricultural University, Hohhot 010011, China

Received date: 2018-11-29

Revised date: 2019-01-07

Online published: 2019-11-14

Fold

摘要

系统评价气候变化和人为因素引起的植被退化，对有效开展生态工程建设、实现生态环境的可持续发展具有重要意义。目前绝大多研究主要分析气候因素对植被变化的影响，分析气候因素和人类活动对植被变化的双重影响少有研究。本文主要介绍这一双重影响对植被变化的贡献程度的主要研究方法——定性-半定量法、回归分析法、残差趋势法、基于净第一生产力的评价方法。综述分析了气候和人为因素对植被变化驱动的主要结论，总结目前各研究方法存在的问题，提出了未来需要重点加强气候和人为因素对植被变化驱动因素的分解研究，加强模型评价和不确定性量化研究等。

关键词： 气候变化; 人类活动; 植被变化; 评价方法

本文引用格式

马启民 , 贾晓鹏 , 王海兵 , 李永山 , 李劭宁 . 气候和人为因素对植被变化影响的评价方法综述[J]. 中国沙漠, 2019 , 39(6) : 48 -55 . DOI: 10.7522/j.issn.1000-694X.2019.00004

Abstract

Understanding how the dynamics of vegetation growth respond to climate change and human activities at different temporal and spatial scales is critical to project future ecosystem dynamics. At present, most of the studies mainly analyze the influence of climate change on vegetation, but there are few studies on the dual effects of climate change and human activities on vegetation. We systematically reviewed the methods of how to identify contributions of climate change and human activities on vegetation at quantitative aspects, including the qualitative and semi-quantitative assessment, regression analysis, residual trend method, and the first Net Primary Production based evaluation method. By summarizing and analyzing the progresses of previous researches on quantitative evaluation of the contributions and the existing problems, we found that it would be necessary to strengthen the study of disassembling the driving mechanisms of climate change and human activities on vegetation, as well as model evaluation and uncertainty analysis in the future.

Key words： climate change; anthropogenic activities; vegetation change; evaluation method

参考文献

[1] Piao S,Wang X,Ciais P,et al.Changes in satellite-derived vegetation growth trend in temperate and boreal Eurasia from 1982 to 2006[J].Global Change Biology,2011,17:3228-3239.
[2] Peng J,Liu Z,Liu Y,et al.Trend analysis of vegetation dynamics in Qinghai-Tibet Plateau using Hurst Exponent[J].Ecological Indicators,2012,14:28-39.
[3] Tucker C J.Red and photographic infrared linear combinations for monitoring vegetation[J].Remote Sensing of Environment,1979,8:127-150.
[4] Tucker C J,Slayback D A,Pinzon J E,et al.Higher northern latitude normalized difference vegetation index and growing season trends from 1982 to 1999[J].International Journal of Biometeorology,2001,45:184-190.
[5] Beck P S A,Atzberger C,Høgda K A,et al.Improved monitoring of vegetation dynamics at very high latitudes:a new method using MODIS NDVI[J].Remote Sensing of Environment,2006,99:321-334.
[6] 郭紫晨,康文平,陈翔,等.2000-2015年毛乌素沙区植被覆盖度变化趋势[J].中国沙漠,2018,38:1099-1107.
[7] 曹博,马彬,王国强,等.2000-2014年甘肃省NDVI时空变化特征[J].中国沙漠,2018,38:418-427.
[8] 张仁平,冯琦胜,郭靖,等.2000-2012年中国北方草地NDVI和气候因子时空变化[J].中国沙漠,2015,35:1403-1412.
[9] 刘宪锋,杨勇,任志远,等.2000-2009年黄土高原地区植被覆盖度时空变化[J].中国沙漠,2013,33:1244-1249.
[10] 蒋冲,王文丽,陈爱芳,等.近52年渭河流域气候变化对植被净第一性生产力的影响[J].中国沙漠,2013,33:952-957.
[11] Ye Y,Khan M A U.Migration and reclamation in Northeast China in response to climatic disasters in North China over the past 300 years[J].Regional Environmental Change,2012,12:193-206.
[12] 黄珊,周立华,冯起,等.内陆河流域治理政策的生态环境效果评价——以民勤绿洲为例[J].中国沙漠,2017,37(3):580-586.
[13] Xu H J,Wang X,Zhang X.Impacts of climate change and human activities on the aboveground production in alpine grasslands:a case study of the source region of the Yellow River,China[J].Arabian Journal of Geosciences,2017,10:17.
[14] Wang S,Lei H,Duan L,et al.Attribution of the vegetation trends in a typical desertified watershed of northeast China over the past three decades:reason for desertification[J].Ecohydrology,2016,9:1566-1579.
[15] Cai H,Yang X,Wang K,et al.Is forest restoration in the Southwest China Karst promoted mainly by climate change or human-induced factors?[J]. Remote Sensing,2014,6:9895-9910.
[16] 孙建国,王涛,颜长珍.气候变化和人类活动在榆林市荒漠化过程中的相对作用[J].中国沙漠,2012,32:625-630.
[17] Li S,Yang S,Liu X,et al.NDVI-based analysis on the influence of climate change and human activities on vegetation restoration in the Shaanxi-Gansu-Ningxia Region,Central China[J].Remote Sensing,2015,7:11163-11182.
[18] Liu H,Zhang A,Jiang T,et al.Response of vegetation productivity to climate change and human activities in the Shaanxi-Gansu-Ningxia Region,China[J].Journal of the Indian Society of Remote Sensing,2018,46:1081-1092.
[19] Muratova N R,Kappas M,Propastin P A.A remote sensing based monitoring system for discrimination between climate and human-induced vegetation change in Central Asia[J].Management of Environmental Quality An International Journal,2008,19:579-596.
[20] Chen B,Zhang X,Tao J,et al.The impact of climate change and anthropogenic activities on alpine grassland over the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau[J].Agricultural & Forest Meteorology,2014,189/190:11-18.
[21] Xu H J,Wang X P,Zhang X X.Alpine grasslands response to climatic factors and anthropogenic activities on the Tibetan Plateau from 2000 to 2012[J].Ecological Engineering,2016,92:251-259.
[22] Mu S,Zhou S,Chen Y,et al.Assessing the impact of restoration-induced land conversion and management alternatives on net primary productivity in Inner Mongolian grassland,China[J].Global & Planetary Change,2013,108:29-41.
[23] Mueller T,Dressler G,Tucker C J,et al.Human land-use practices lead to global long-term increases in photosynthetic capacity[J].Remote Sensing,2014,6:5717-5731.
[24] Liu Y,Li Y,Li S,et al.Spatial and temporal patterns of global NDVI trends:correlations with climate and human factors[J].Remote Sensing,2015,7:13233-13250.
[25] 杜加强,贾尔恒·阿哈提,赵晨曦,等.1982-2012年新疆植被NDVI的动态变化及其对气候变化和人类活动的响应[J].应用生态学报,2015,26:3567-3578.
[26] 李学梅,任志远,张翀.气候因子和人类活动对重庆市植被覆盖变化的影响分析[J].地理科学,2013,33:1390-1394.
[27] 王姝,张艳芳,位贺杰,等.生态恢复背景下陕甘宁地区NPP变化及其固碳释氧价值[J].中国沙漠,2015,35:1421-1428.
[28] 张涛,曹广超,曹生奎,等.2000-2012年青海湖流域NPP时空分布特征[J].中国沙漠,2015,35:1072-1080.
[29] 高添,徐斌,杨秀春,等.内蒙古西部草原地上生物量的遥感估算[C]//中国地理学会沙漠分会2012年学术研讨会:597-603.
[30] 杜子璇,陈怀亮,刘忠阳.黄淮海地区植被覆盖变化驱动力与驱动机制研究[J].气象与环境科学,2007,30:3-9.
[31] 张雪梅,王克林,岳跃民,等.生态工程背景下西南喀斯特植被变化主导因素及其空间非平稳性[J].生态学报,2017,37:4008-4018.
[32] 王子玉,许端阳,杨华,等.1981-2010年气候变化和人类活动对内蒙古地区植被动态影响的定量研究[J].地理科学进展,2017,36:1025-1032.
[33] Liu Y Y,Evans J P,McCabe M F,et al.Changing climate and overgrazing are decimating Mongolian Steppes[J].Plos One,2013,8:e57599.
[34] Xin Z B,Xu J X,Zheng W.Spatiotemporal variations of vegetation cover on the Chinese Loess Plateau (1981-2006):impacts of climate changes and human activities[J].Science in China,2008,51:67-78.
[35] 周锡饮,师华定,王秀茹.气候变化和人类活动对蒙古高原植被覆盖变化的影响[J].干旱区研究,2014,31:604-610.
[36] 李登科,何慧娟,刘安麟.人类活动和气候变化对红碱淖植被覆盖变化的影响[J].中国沙漠,2010,30:831-836.
[37] Li S S,Yan J,Liu X.Response of vegetation restoration to climate change and human activities in Shaanxi-Gansu-Ningxia Region[J].Journal of Geographical Sciences,2013,23:98-112.
[38] Vicente-Serrano S M,Lasanta T,Romo A.Analysis of spatial and temporal evolution of vegetation cover in the Spanish Central Pyrenees:role of human management[J].Environmental Management,2004,34:802-818.
[39] Li A,Wu J,Huang J.Distinguishing between human-induced and climate-driven vegetation changes:a critical application of RESTREND in inner Mongolia[J].Landscape Ecology,2012,27:969-982.
[40] Fang Y,Deng X,Qin J,et al.The impacts of climate change and human activities on grassland productivity in Qinghai Province,China[J].Frontiers of Earth Science,2014,8:93-103.
[41] 曹鑫,辜智慧,陈晋,等.基于遥感的草原退化人为因素影响趋势分析[J].植物生态学报,2006,30:268-277.
[42] He C,Tian J,Gao B,et al.Differentiating climate and human-induced drivers of grassland degradation in the Liao River Basin,China[J].Environmental Monitoring & Assessment,2015,187:1-14.
[43] Zhang J,Niu J M,Bao T,et al.Human induced dryland degradation in Ordos Plateau,China,revealed by multilevel statistical modeling of normalized difference vegetation index and rainfall time-series[J].Journal of Arid Land,2014,6:219-229.
[44] Wang J,Wang K,Zhang M,et al.Impacts of climate change and human activities on vegetation cover in hilly southern China[J].Ecological Engineering,2015,81:451-461.
[45] Wang T,Sun J G,Han H,et al.The relative role of climate change and human activities in the desertification process in Yulin region of northwest China[J].Environmental Monitoring & Assessment,2012,184:7165-7173.
[46] 易浪,任志远,张翀,等.黄土高原植被覆盖变化与气候和人类活动的关系[J].资源科学,2014,36:166-174.
[47] 邓晨晖,白红英,高山,等.秦岭植被覆盖时空变化及其对气候变化与人类活动的双重响应[J].自然资源学报,2018,33:425-438.
[48] 李作伟,吴荣军,马玉平.气候变化和人类活动对三江源地区植被生产力的影响[J].冰川冻土,2016,38:804-810.
[49] Zhou W,Sun Z,Li J,et al.Desertification dynamic and the relative roles of climate change and human activities in desertification in the Heihe River Basin based on NPP[J].Journal of Arid Land,2013,5:465-479.
[50] Xu D,Kang X,Liu Z,et al.Assessing the relative role of climate change and human activities in sandy desertification of Ordos region,China[J].Science in China Series D(Earth Sciences),2009,52:855-868.
[51] Zhang C,Li J,Hua T.Roles of climate changes and human interventions in land degradation:a case study by net primary productivity analysis in China's Shiyanghe Basin[J].Environmental Earth Sciences,2011,64:2183-2193.
[52] 杜金燊,于德永.气候变化和人类活动对中国北方农牧交错区草地净初级生产力的影响[J].北京师范大学学报(自然科学版),2018,54:35-39.
[53] Sanderson E W,Levy M J A,Redford K H,et al.The human footprint and the last of the wild[J].Bioscience,2002,52:891-904.
[54] Evans J,Geerken R.Discrimination between climate and human-induced dryland degradation[J].Journal of Arid Environments,2004,57:535-554.
[55] Wessels K J,Prince S D,Malherbe J,et al.Can human-induced land degradation be distinguished from the effects of rainfall variability? a case study in South Africa[J].Journal of Arid Environments,2007,68:271-297.
[56] 李晓光,刘华民,王立新,等.鄂尔多斯高原植被覆盖变化及其与气候和人类活动的关系[J].中国农业气象,2014,35:470-476.
[57] 李辉霞,刘国华,傅伯杰.基于NDVI的三江源地区植被生长对气候变化和人类活动的响应研究[J].生态学报,2011,31:5495-5504.
[58] 孙艳玲,郭鹏,延晓冬,等.内蒙古植被覆盖变化及其与气候、人类活动的关系[J].自然资源学报,2010,25:407-414.
[59] 杨林山,李常斌,王帅兵,等.气候变化和人类活动对洮河流域植被动态的影响研究[J].资源科学,2014,36:1941-1948.
[60] 孙建国,张卓,韩惠,等.气候和人类因素在黄土高原西北部植被变化中的贡献率研究[J].遥感信息,2014,29:83-88.
[61] 韦振锋,王德光,张翀,等.1999-2010年中国西北地区植被覆盖对气候变化和人类活动的响应[J].中国沙漠,2014,34:1665-1670.
[62] Liu Y Y,Evans J P,Mccabe M F,et al.Changing climate and overgrazing are decimating Mongolian Steppes[J].Plos One,2013,8:e57599.
[63] 白淑英,史建桥,陆源.基于时间序列遥感数据的西藏山南地区植被覆盖变化特征分析[J].中国沙漠,2015,35:1396-1402.
[64] Liu Y,Lei H.Responses of natural vegetation dynamics to climate drivers in China from 1982 to 2011[J].Remote Sensing,2015,7:10243-10268.
[65] Wang J,Rich P M,Price K P.Temporal responses of NDVI to precipitation and temperature in the central Great Plains,USA[J].International Journal of Remote Sensing,2003,24:2345-2364.
[66] Piao S,Mohammat A,Fang J,et al.NDVI-based increase in growth of temperate grasslands and its responses to climate changes in China[J].Global Environmental Change,2006,16:340-348.
[67] Song Y,Ma M.A statistical analysis of the relationship between climatic factors and the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index in China[J].International Journal of Remote Sensing,2011,32:3947-3965.
[68] Chen A,Li R,Wang H,et al.Quantitative assessment of human appropriation of aboveground net primary production in China[J].Ecological Modelling,2015,312:54-60.
[69] Andersen C B,Donovan R K,Quinn J E.Human appropriation of net primary production (HANPP) in an agriculturally-dominated watershed,southeastern USA[J].Land,2015,4:513-540.
[70] Musel A,Erb K H,Haberl H,et al.Human appropriation of net primary production in the United Kingdom,1800-2000:changes in society's impact on ecological energy flows during the agrarian-industrial transition[J].Ecological Economics,2009,69:270-281.
[71] Plutzar C,Kroisleitner C,Haberl H,et al.Changes in the spatial patterns of human appropriation of net primary production in Europe 1990-2006[J].Regional Environmental Change,2016,16:1225-1238.
[72] Running S W.A regional look at HANPP:human consumption is increasing,NPP is not[J].Environmental Research Letters,2014,9:111003.
[73] Lieth H,Whittaker R H.Primary Productivity of the Biosphere[M].Dordrecht,Netherlands:Springer,1975:274.
[74] Lieth H.Modeling the primary productivity of the world[J].Nature & Resources,1975,8:237-263.
[75] Uchijima Z S H.Agroclimatic evaluation of net primary productivity of natural vegetations:Chikugo model for evaluating net primary productivity[J].Journal of Agricultural Meteorology,1985,40:343-352.
[76] Lieth H B E.Evapotranspiration and primary productivity:CW Thornthwaite memorial model[J].Publications in Climatology,1972,25:37-46.
[77] Melillo J M,Mcguire A D,Kicklighter D W,et al.Global climate change and terrestrial net primary production[J].Nature,1993,363:234-240.
[78] Raich J W,Rastetter E B,Melillo J M,et al.Potential net primary productivity in South America:application of a global model[J].Ecological Applications,1991,1:399-429.
[79] Sitch S S B,Prentice I C,Arneth A,et al.Evaluation of ecosystem dynamics,plant geography and terrestrial carbon cycling in the LPJ dynamic global vegetation model[J].Global Change Biology,2010,9:161-185.
[80] Foley J A,Prentice I C,Ramankutty N,et al.An integrated biosphere model of land surface processes,terrestrial carbon balance,and vegetation dynamics[J].Global Biogeochemical Cycles,1996,10:603-628.
[81] Field C B,Randerson J T,Malmström C M.Global net primary production:combining ecology and remote sensing[J].Remote Sensing of Environment,1995,51:74-88.
[82] 张福平,冯起,李旭谱,等.黑河流域NPP遥感估算及其时空变化特征[J].中国沙漠,2014,34:1657-1664.
[83] 张美玲,蒋文兰,陈全功,等.基于CSCS改进CASA模型的中国草地净初级生产力模拟[J].中国沙漠,2014,34:1150-1160.
[84] 李庆,王洪涛,刘文,等.以HJ-1卫星遥感数据估算高寒草地植被净第一性生产力的潜力评估——以若尔盖草地为例[J].中国沙漠,2013,33:1250-1255.
[85] Jansen L.Towards a sustainable future,en route with technology[M]//The Environment:Towards A Sustainable Future.Dordrecht,Netherlands:Springer,1994:496-525.

Options

文章导航

模态框（Modal）标题

摘要

本文引用格式

Abstract

参考文献