Analysis on Driving Forces of Households’ Water-saving Irrigation Decision-making in the Sangonghe River Basin Using the Logistic Model
Received date: 2012-10-22
Revised date: 2012-11-27
Online published: 2013-01-20
Based on the data obtained through the 284 households questionnaires investigation, we summarized the decision-making mechanism of households irrigation. Natural factors were the most fundamental factors leading to regional irrigation method differences. Farmers own conditions affected their awareness of irrigation methods and water conservation importance. Governments policies played an effective role in regulating households decision-making behavior. According to the understanding to decision-making mechanism, the land condition, irrigation policies, farmers qualities, households economic conditions and the households present irrigation methods were chosen to make a Logistic model to analyze the relations between the multiple factors and households willingness to save water. The results showed that the following factors were the main factors influencing households selection of water-saving technology, whatwater-savings more, their influence degrees were different, that was, water price>farmland patch location>proportion of non-farming income>ownership of farmland patch>comprehension degree on water-saving irrigation> interviewees gender>irrigation quantity>average age of labor>households farmland area. Then, some advices were put forward to encourage households to choose water-saving irrigation method.
ZHANG Xin-huan1 , XIAO Yan-qiu2 , YANG De-gang1 , LIU Yun-tong3 . Analysis on Driving Forces of Households’ Water-saving Irrigation Decision-making in the Sangonghe River Basin Using the Logistic Model[J]. Journal of Desert Research, 2013 , 33(1) : 288 -294 . DOI: 10.7522/j.issn.1000-694X.2013.00039
[1]Pimental D,Beger B,Filiberto D,et al.Water resources:Agricultural and environmental issues[J].Bioscience,2004,54(10):909-918.
[2]南纪琴,赵西宁,尚虎君,等.农业经济用水量的决策层次与支持系统设计[J].干旱地区农业研究,2009,27(1):152-156.
[3]张勃,吕永清,张耀宗,等.博弈理论在水资源管理中的应用——以黑河流域为例[J].中国沙漠,2010,30(2):461-466.
[4]谭灵芝,王国友.干旱区绿洲节水效益对多部门经济结构调整影响的实证研究[J].中国沙漠,2011,31(5):1247-1254.
[5]李科.我国农业水资源可持续利用的对策研究[D].成都:成都理工大学,2007.
[6]孟戈,刘建华,王先甲.激励节水灌溉技术推广的水权交易机制[J].节水灌溉,2008,(8):38-39.
[7]段永红,杨名远.农田灌溉节水激励机制与效应分析[J].农业技术经济,2003,(4):13-18.
[8]彭世彰,张瑞美.浅析农业节水激励机制[J].中国水利,2005,(13):104-106.
[9]肖幼.农业节水激励机制及其措施[J].中国水利,2005,(13):113-115.
[10]韩青.灌溉管理中的农户参与和激励机制：国际比较与借鉴[J].世界农业,2009,(6):6-9.
[11]王艳芳,张红玲.水价与灌溉模式选择的博弈分析[J].水利经济,2009,27(2):32-33.
[12]刘红梅,王克强,黄智俊.农户采用节水灌溉技术激励机制的研究[J].中国水利,2006,(19):33-35.
[13]孟戈,王先甲.激励节水灌溉技术推广的水价机制[J].节水灌溉,2008,(9):8-9.
[14]夏朋,倪晋仁.流域水权初始分配机制中的节水激励[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2008,18(3):206-210.
[15]赵文举,马孝义,张建兴,等.农业节水实现的经济学解析与激励机制[J].中国农村水利水电,2008,(4):48-53.
[16]Luo G P,Zhou C H,Chen X,et al.A methodology of characterizing status and trend of land changes in oases:A case study of Sangong River watershed,Xinjiang,China[J].Journal of Environmental Management,2008,88(4):775-783.
[17]董国涛,罗格平,许文强,等.三工河流域下游绿洲土壤微量元素有效含量空间变异特征[J].中国沙漠,2010,30(4):862-869.
[18]罗格平,陈嘻,周可法,等.三工河流域绿洲时空变异及其稳定性研究[J].中国科学(D辑),2002,32(6):521-528.
[19]王玉刚,肖笃宁,李彦,等.三工河流域绿洲土壤有机碳的空间分布[J].中国沙漠,2011,31(1):101-107.
[20]尹昌应,罗格平,汤发树.乡镇尺度绿洲土地利用空间格局动态模拟与分析[J].中国沙漠,2009,29(1):68-75.
[21]刘红梅,王克强,黄智俊.影响中国农户采用节水灌溉技术行为的因素分析[J].中国农村经济,2008,(4):45-54.
[22]冯艳芬,董玉祥,王芳.大城市郊区农户弃耕行为及影响因素分析：以广州番禺区农户调查为例[J].自然资源学报,2010,25(5):722-734.
[23]陈美球,肖鹤亮,何维佳,等.耕地流转农户行为影响因素的实证分析：基于江西省1396户农户耕地流转行为现状的调研[J].自然资源学报,2008,23(3):369-374.
[24]谢花林,李波.基于Logistic回归模型的农牧交错区土地利用变化驱动力分析[J].地理研究,2008,27(2):294-304.
[25]周建南.阜康县志[M].乌鲁木齐:新疆人民出版社,2001:104-110.
/
| 〈 |
|
〉 |