Comparison on the Annual Water Level Variations and Prediction between the Bosten Lake and the Issyk-Kul Lake

Mihrigul Anwar, Hamid Yimit, Mamattursun Eziz, Shakure Tahir, Yorov Hasan

doi:10.7522/j.issn.1000-694X.2014.00049

Journal of Desert Research >

2015 , Vol. 35 >Issue 3: 792 - 799

DOI: https://doi.org/10.7522/j.issn.1000-694X.2014.00049

Comparison on the Annual Water Level Variations and Prediction between the Bosten Lake and the Issyk-Kul Lake

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1. College of Resources and Environment Science, Xinjiang University, Urumqi 830046, China;
2. Xinjiang Laboratory of Lake Environment and Resources, Xinjiang Normal University, Urumqi 830054, China;
3. College of Geographical Science and Tourism, Xinjiang Normal University, Urumqi 830054, China

Received date: 2014-02-08

Revised date: 2014-04-09

Online published: 2015-05-20

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Abstract

Based on the observation data of lake water level from 1961 to 2012, using time series linear trend analysis and wavelet analysis, comparative study Bosten Lake and Issyk-Kul nearly 50 years water level change characteristics and predictive analysis the lake water level future trends. The results show that: ①from 1961 to 2012, Bosten Lake and Issyk-Kul annual water level shows a significant decline trend. Before the mid-1980s, the two lakes water level almost the same change trend, all steady decline. After the 1990s, Bosten Lake water level change fluctuation more frequent than the Issyk-Kul, has experienced rapid rise and fall stages, but the Issyk-Kul water level is relatively stable. ②wavelet analysis results show that, Bosten Lake and Issyk-Kul annual water level presence 18-a and 22-a primary period. According to the water level future change trend forecast results, In future for a period of time Bosten Lake water level continued to decline, Issyk-Kul lake water level continued to rise.

Key words： Bosten Lake; Issyk-Kul Lake; water level; wavelet analysis; comparative analysis

Cite this article

Mihrigul Anwar, Hamid Yimit, Mamattursun Eziz, Shakure Tahir, Yorov Hasan . Comparison on the Annual Water Level Variations and Prediction between the Bosten Lake and the Issyk-Kul Lake[J]. Journal of Desert Research, 2015 , 35(3) : 792 -799 . DOI: 10.7522/j.issn.1000-694X.2014.00049

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