img

Wechat

  • CN 62-1070/P
  • ISSN 1000-694X
  • Bimonthly 1981
Adv search

Farmers' Perception and Its Influence Factors of Climate Change in the Shiyang River Basin

  • Luo Li ,
  • Zhao Xueyan ,
  • Wang Yaru ,
  • Zhang Qin
Expand
  • College of Geography and Environment Science, Northwest Normal University, Lanzhou 730070, China

Received date: 2015-03-31

  Revised date: 2015-04-28

  Online published: 2016-07-20

Abstract

Farmers' perception of climate change is a critical factor affecting the choice of adaptation measures. Based on 491 household survey data and farmers' perceptions indices of climate change, this paper analyzes the characteristics of farmers' perceptions of climate change in the Shiyang River Basin. Perceptions of climate change include risk perception and adaptive perception. The risk perception include sensitivity perception and severity perception, and the adaptive perception include adaptation efficacy perception, self-efficiency perception and adaptation costs perception. Using multiple linear regression method to analysis the key factors influencing farmers' perception of climate change. The results show: (1) Farmers' risk perception of climate change in the Shiyang River Basin is strong. Most farmers perceived the temperature increase, this situation is consistent with the trends of climate change in 1963-2012 in the Shiyang River Basin. And most farmers perceived the precipitation reduction, this situation does not comply with the trends of climate change in 1963-2012 in the Shiyang River Basin. Most farmers perceived drought and dust storms increase, and farmers' perception of increased drought is the strongest, followed by the perception of increased dust storms. In comparison, the perception of temperature increase and reduced precipitation of upstream farmers is stronger than the perception of middle and lower reaches, but the perception of increased drought and dust storms of the middle and lower reaches farmers is stronger than the perception of upstream farmers. In addition, most farmers already perceived the seriousness of climate change and its impacts in the Shiyang River Basin. (2) Farmers' adaptive perception of climate change in the Shiyang River Basin is relatively weak. In comparison, the adaptation efficacy perception and costs perception to climate change of the middle and lower reaches farmers is stronger than the perception of upstream famers, but the self-efficiency perception to climate change of the middle and lower reaches farmers is weaker than the perception of upstream farmers. The upstream and the middle-lower reaches farmers have taken different measures to weaken the influence of climate change on livelihoods. (3) The key factors influencing farmers' sensitivity perception are farmer's education level, farming life and channels of access to climate change information. The key factors influencing farmers' severity perception and adaptation costs perception are farmer's gender, education level and the frequency of communication with villagers. The key factor influencing farmers' adaptation efficacy perception is the frequency of communication with villagers. The key factor influencing farmers' self-efficiency perception is farmer's education level.

Cite this article

Luo Li , Zhao Xueyan , Wang Yaru , Zhang Qin . Farmers' Perception and Its Influence Factors of Climate Change in the Shiyang River Basin[J]. Journal of Desert Research, 2016 , 36(4) : 1171 -1181 . DOI: 10.7522/j.issn.1000-694X.2015.00124

References

[1] 沈永平,王国亚.IPCC第一工作组第五次评估报告对全球气候变化认知的最新科学要点[J].冰川冻土,2013,35(5):1068-1076.
[2] 肖风劲,张海东,王春乙,等.气候变化对我国农业的可能影响及适应性对策[J].自然灾害学报,2006,15(6):327-331.
[3] 费利佩,邱训平,吴建,等.气候变化对墨西哥水循环的影响与对策[J].水利水电快报,2014(3):19-23.
[4] 侯向阳,韩颖.内蒙古典型地区牧户气候变化感知与适应的实证研究[J].地理研究,2011,30(10):1753-1764.
[5] 赵雪雁.不同生计方式农户的环境感知-以甘南高原为例[J].生态学报,2012,32(21):6776-6787.
[6] 云雅如,方修琦,田青,等.黑龙江省漠河县乡村人群对气候变化的感知方式与认知结果[J].地理科学,2009,29(5):745-749.
[7] Chelsea C F,Patrick C,Edward M.Household perceptions of coastal hazards and climate change in the Central Philippines[J].Journal of Environmental Management,2012,112:137-148.
[8] Naresh C S,Diptimayee M.Analysis of Perception and Adaptability Strategies of the Farmers to Climate Change in Odisha,India[J].Sciverse Science Direct,2013,5:123-127.
[9] 常跟应,李曼,黄夫朋.陇中和鲁西南乡村居民对当地气候变化感知研究[J].地理科学,2011,31(6):708-714.
[10] Hageback J,Sundberg J,Ostwald M,et al.Climate variability and landuse change in Danangou watershed,China-examples of small-scale farmers' adaptation[J].Climatic Change,2005,72:189-212.
[11] Habiba U,Shaw R,Takeuchi Y.Farmer's perception and adaptation practices to cope with drought: Perspectives from Northwestern Bangladesh[J].International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction,2012,1:72-84.
[12] Udmale P,Ichikawa Y,Manandhar S,et al.Farmers' perception of drought impacts,local adaptation and administrative mitigation measures in Maharashtra State,India[J].International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction,2014,10:250-269.
[13] Bryan E,Deressa T T,Gbetibouo G A,et al.Adaptation to climate change in Ethiopia and South Africa: options and constraints[J].Environmental Science & Policy,2009,12:413-426.
[14] 田青,姚冬萍,苏桂武,等.吉林省敦化市乡村人群气候变化感知的偏差及群体分异研究[J].气候变化研究进展,2011,7(3):217-223.
[15] 云雅如,方修琦,田青.乡村人群气候变化感知的初步分析-以黑龙江省漠河县为例[J].气候变化研究进展,2009,5(2):117-121.
[16] 常跟应,黄夫朋,李曼,等.黄土高原和鲁西南案例区乡村居民对全球气候变化认知[J].地理研究,2012,31(7):1233-1247.
[17] 韩颖,侯向阳.内蒙古荒漠草原牧户对气候变化的感知和适应[J].应用生态学报,2011,22(4):913-922.
[18] 陈翔舜,高斌斌,王小军,等.甘肃省民勤县土地荒漠化现状及动态[J].中国沙漠,2014,34(4):970-974.
[19] 马国军,刘君娣,林栋,等.石羊河流域水资源利用现状及生态环境效应[J].中国沙漠,2008,28(3):592-597.
[20] 刘明春,张强,邓振镛,等.气候变化对石羊河流域农业生产的影响[J].地理科学,2009,29(5):727-732.
[21] 刘明春.石羊河流域气候干湿状况分析及评价[J].生态学杂志,2006,25(8):880-884.
[22] 胡文俊.石羊河流域水资源利用和生态环境保护对策[J].干旱区地理,2007,30(6):969-973.
[23] 常兆丰.石羊河流域生态退化原因分析[J].甘肃环境研究与监测,2003,16(2):111-113.
[24] 张调风,张勃,王有恒,等.基于综合气象干旱指数的石羊河流域近50年气象干旱特征分析[J].生态学报,2013,33(3):975-984.
[25] 张慧,徐富明,李彬,等.基于气候变化的风险认知[J].心理科学进展,2013,21(9):1677-1685.
[26] 朱红根,周曙东.南方稻区农户适应气候变化行为实证分析-基于江西省36县(市)346份农户调查数据[J].自然资源学报,2011,26(7):1119-1128.
[27] Tenge J,Graaff D,Hella J P.Social and economic factors affecting the adoption of soil and water conservation in West Usambara highlands,Tanzania[J].Land Degradation and Development,2004(2):99-114.
[28] 谭灵芝,马长发.中国干旱区农户气候变化感知及适应性行为研究[J].水土保持通报,2014,34(1):220-225.
[29] Smith W J,Zhongwei L,Safi A S,et al.Climate change perception,observation and policy support in rural Nevada:a comparative analysis of native Americans,non-native ranchers and farmers and mainstream America[J].Environmental Science & Policy,2014,42:101-122.
[30] 吕亚荣,陈淑芬.农民对气候变化的认知及适应性行为分析[J].中国农村经济,2010,7:75-86.
[31] 王全忠,周宏,陈欢,等.农户对气候变化感知的有效性分析-以江苏省水稻种植为例[J].技术经济,2014,33(2):71-76,103.
[32] Frank E,Eakin H,Lo'pez-Carr D.Social identity,perception and motivation in adaptation to climate risk in the coffee sector of Chiapas,Mexico[J].Global Environmental Change,2011,21:66-76.
[33] 李小玉,肖笃宁,何兴元,等.内陆河流域中、下游绿洲耕地变化及其驱动因素-以石羊河流域中游凉州区和下游民勤绿洲为例[J].生态学报,2006,26(3):671-680.
[34] 宋松柏,蔡焕杰.旱区生态环境质量的综合定量评价模型[J].生态学报,2004,24(11):2509-2515.
Outlines

/