Tree-ring Based Streamflow Reconstruction for the Qushian River of Yellow River Source Region from 1505 to 2010

Xiao Dingmu; Qin Ningsheng; Huang Xiaomei

doi:10.7522/j.issn.1000-694X.2015.00198

Journal of Desert Research >

2017 , Vol. 37 >Issue 2: 372 - 383

DOI: https://doi.org/10.7522/j.issn.1000-694X.2015.00198

Tree-ring Based Streamflow Reconstruction for the Qushian River of Yellow River Source Region from 1505 to 2010

Xiao Dingmu ,
Qin Ningsheng ,
Huang Xiaomei

Expand

1. Sichuan Province Key Laboratory of Heavy Rain and Drought-Flood Disasters in Plateau and Basin, Institute of Plateau Meteorology, China Meteorological Administration, Chengdu 610072, China;
2. Plateau Atmosphere and Envonment Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Chengdu University of Information Technology, Chengdu 610225, China;
3. Sichuan Provincial Meteorological Observatory, Chengdu 610072, China;
4. Sichuan Provincial Climate Centre, Chengdu 610072, China

Received date: 2015-06-09

Revised date: 2015-09-06

Online published: 2017-03-20

Fold

Abstract

Tree-ring width STD chronology was created by Sabina przewalskii which was collected in Xueshan Township of Qinghai Province. Statistical analysis showed that the chronology was highly correlated with instrumental streamflow records from previous November to current June from the Damitan hydrological Station, with a correlation coefficient of 0.62. Streamflow of the Qushian River was reconstructed for the past 506 years. It was verified that the reconstructed series was reliable by verification statistics. The relatively low streamflow periods were 1510-1520, 1530-1541, 1544-1586, 1590-1654, 1698-1720, 1728-1745, 1817-1836, 1856-1886, 1917-1932, 1993-2004, and the relatively high streamflow periods were 1655-1697, 1746-1816, 1898-1916, 1933-1957, 1962-1992. The trends of reconstructed sequence in this study and the reconstructed precipitation series in Delingha, Tibetan Plateau and streamflow reconstruction series for the Upper Yellow River were highly correlated in common years. In addition, the reliability of this reconstructed sequence could be confirmed by some documents and historical records. Multi-taper spectral analysis suggests the existence of significant periods of 2-2.7, 3, 3.1-3.4, and 85-256 years. The period of 2-2.7, 3 and 3.1-3.4 years may be related to ENSO variability. Moreover, the reconstructed series have a relationship with Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and South Asian summer monsoon.

Key words： tree-ring; source region of Yellow River; reconstruction; streamflow

Cite this article

Xiao Dingmu , Qin Ningsheng , Huang Xiaomei . Tree-ring Based Streamflow Reconstruction for the Qushian River of Yellow River Source Region from 1505 to 2010[J]. Journal of Desert Research, 2017 , 37(2) : 372 -383 . DOI: 10.7522/j.issn.1000-694X.2015.00198

References

[1] 王国庆.气候变化对黄河中游水文水资源影响的关键问题研究[D].南京:河海大学,2010:1-135.
[2] 蓝永超,文军,赵国辉,等.黄河河源区径流对气候变化的敏感性分析[J].冰川冻土,2010,32(1):175-182.
[3] 王欢,李栋梁.黄河源区流量变化特征及其影响因子研究进展[J].高原山地气象研究,2013,33(2):93-99.
[4] 张国胜,时兴合.黄河源区气候变化及其对草原荒漠化的影响[J].资源生态环境网络研究动态,2000,11(1):18-22.
[5] 李常德,陈少勇,李晓霞,等.黄河中上游8月旱涝变化及环流异常特征[J].高原山地气象研究,2014,34(2):22-29.
[6] 马艳,靳力亚,段炼,等.三江源湿地的异化对区域气候的影响[J].高原山地气象研究,2011,31(1):42-45.
[7] Meko D M,Woodhouse C A,Morino K.Dendrochronology and links to streamflow[J].Journal of Hydrology,2012,412(1):200-209.
[8] Margolis E Q,Meko D M,Touchan R.A tree-ring reconstruction of streamflow in the Santa Fe River,New Mexico[J].Journal of Hydrology,2011,397(1/2):118-127.
[9] Gou X,Chen F,Cook E,et al.Streamflow variations of the Yellow River over the past 593 years in western China reconstructed from treerings[J].Water Resources Research,2007,43(6):113-119.
[10] 刘禹,杨银科,蔡秋芳,等.以树木年轮宽度资料重建湟水河过去248年来6—7月份河流径流量[J].干旱区资源与环境,2006,20(6):69-73.
[11] 秦宁生,靳立亚,时兴合,等.利用树轮资料重建通天河流域518年径流量[J].地理学报,2004,59(4):550-556.
[12] 康兴成,程国栋,康尔泗,等.利用树轮资料重建黑河近千年来出山口径流量[J].中国科学D辑:地球科学,2002,32(8):675-685.
[13] 王亚军,陈发虎,勾晓华.黑河230 a以来3～6月径流的变化[J].冰川冻土,2004,26(2):202-206.
[14] Liu Y,Sun J,Song H,et al.Tree-ring hydrologic reconstructions for the Heihe River watershed,western China since AD 1430[J].Water Resources Research,2010,44(9):2781-2792.
[15] 何友均.三江源自然保护区森林植物多样性及其保护研究[M].北京:中国林业出版社,2008.
[16] 周兴民,王质彬,杜庆.青海植被[M].西宁:青海人民出版社,1986.
[17] 冯永忠,杨改河,白登忠.江河源区水文生态系统构成要素特征分析[J].西北农林科技大学学报:自然科学版,2007,35(3):159-164.
[18] 魏凤英.现代气候统计诊断与预测技术[M].北京:气象出版社,1999.
[19] Kohler M A.On the use of double-mass analysis for testing the consistency of meteorological record sand for making required adjustment[J].Bulletin American Meteorological Society,1949,30:188-189.
[20] Holmes R L.Computer-assisted quality control in tree-ring dating and measurement[J].Tree-Ring Bulletin,1983,43(3):69-78.
[21] Cook E R.A Time Series Analysis Approach to Tree-ring Standardization[D].Tucson,USA:University of Arizona,1985.
[22] Fang K Y,Gou X H,Peters K,et al.Removing biological trends from tree-ring series:testing modified Hugershoff curves[J].Tree-ring Research,2010,66(1):51-59.
[23] 包光,刘禹,刘娜.内蒙古呼伦贝尔地区伊敏河过去135年以来年径流总量的树轮重建[J].科学通报,2013,58(12):1147-1157.
[24] Fan Z X,Brauning A,Cao K F.Tree-ring based drought reconstruction in the Hengduan Mountains Region(China) since A.D.1655[J].International Journal of Climatology,2008,28(14):1879-1887.
[25] 孙卫国,程炳岩,李荣.黄河源区径流量与区域气候变化的多时间尺度相关[J].地理学报,2009,64(1):117-127.
[26] 吴祥定.树木年轮与气候变化[M].北京:气象出版社,1990:171-172.
[27] 邵雪梅,梁尔源,黄磊,等.柴达木盆地东北部过去1 437 a的降水变化重建[J].气候变化研究进展,2006,2(3):122-126.
[28] 肖丁木,秦宁生,李金建,等.树轮宽度指示的川西色达7月平均最高气温变化[J].中国沙漠,2013,33(5):106-112.
[29] 李金建,邵雪梅,李媛媛,等.1854-2010年川西高原北部初夏气温变化与全球海表温度关系初探[J].中国沙漠,2015,35(4):106-112.
[30] Meko D M,Stockton C W,Boggess W R.The tree-ring record of severe sustained drought[J].Water Resources Bulletin,1995,31(5):789?801.
[31] 白虎志,董安祥,郑广芬,等.中国西北地区近500年旱涝分布图集[M].北京:气象出版社,2010.
[32] 蔺甲,袁玉江,魏文寿,等.利用树轮年表重建新疆博州中东部1622—2010年降水量[J].中国沙漠,2013,33(5):1527-1535.
[33] 陈峰,魏文寿,袁玉江,等.基于多点树轮序列的1768—2006年甘肃降水量变化[J].中国沙漠,2013,33(5):1520-1526.
[34] Liang E Y,Liu X H,Yuan Y J,et al.The 1920s drought recorded by tree rings and historical documents in the semi-arid and arid areas of northern China[J].Climatic Change,2006,79:403-432.
[35] 史辅成,王国安,髙治定,等.黄河1922-1932年连续11年枯水段的分析研究[J].水科学进展,1991,2(4):258-263.
[36] 勾晓华,邓洋,陈发虎,等.黄河上游过去1234年流量的树轮重建与变化特征分析[J].科学通报,2010,55(33):3236-3243.
[37] 邵雪梅,黄磊,刘洪滨,等.树轮记录的青海德令哈地区千年降水变化[J].中国科学D辑:地球科学,2004,34(2):145-153.
[38] 温克刚,王莘.中国气象灾害大典--青海卷[M].北京:气象出版社,2006.
[39] Gray S T,L J Graumlich,J L Betancourt,et al.A tree-ring based reconstruction of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation since 1567 A.D.[J].Geophysical Research Letters,2004,31(12):261-268
[40] 李双林,王彦明,郜永祺.北大西洋年代际振荡(AMO)气候影响的研究评述[J].大气科学学报,2009,32(3):458-465.
[41] Shi F,Li J P,Wilson R J S.A tree-ring reconstruction of the South Asian summer monsoon index over the past millennium[J].Scientific Reports,2014,4:6739.
[42] 赵振国.中国夏季旱涝及环境场[M].北京:气象出版社,1999.
[43] Mann M E,Lees J M.Robust estimation of background noise and signal detection in climatic time series[J].Climatic Change,1996,33(3):409-445.
[44] 张瑞波,尚华明,袁玉江,等.基于树轮δ¹³C的阿尔泰山南坡夏季降水变化分析[J].中国沙漠,2015,35(1):106-112.
[45] Allan R,Lindesay J,Parker D.El Nino,Southern Oscillation and Climatic Variability[M].Melbourne,Australia:Australia Press,1996.

Options

Outlines

模态框（Modal）标题

Abstract

Cite this article

References