未来气候情景下青藏高原风光发电潜力的时空演变与风险评估

邱梦雨, 张德帅, 杜建会

Spatiotemporal evolution and risk assessment of wind and solar power generation potential under future climate scenarios on the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau

Mengyu Qiu, Deshuai Zhang, Jianhui Du

图6 未来不同排放情景下青藏高原光能和风能极端发电事件的季节演变趋势。实线表示多模型集合（NEX-GDDP-CMIP6）估计值的均值，阴影区域表示多模型集合估计值的标准差

Fig.6 Evolution trends of intra-annual extreme power generation events of wind and solar energy on the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau under different future emission scenarios. A indicates intra-annual evolution trend of extreme wind power generation events. B indicates intra-annual evolution trend of extreme photovoltaic power generation events. Solid lines represent the mean values estimated by the multi-model ensemble （NEX-GDDP-CMIP6）， and shaded areas indicate the standard deviation of multi-model ensemble estimates