中国假木贼属(Anabasis)的地理分布及潜在分布区预测

doi:10.7522/j.issn.1000-694X.2017.00075

摘要/Abstract

摘要： 基于最大熵模型（MaxEnt）和地理信息系统，结合中国假木贼属（Anabasis）7个种的地理分布记录及19个环境因子，预测这7个种的潜在分布区及该属的分布中心，并分析其主导环境因子。采用受试者工作特征曲线下面积作为模型预测准确度的衡量指标，刀切法用于评估各环境因子在决定潜在分布区时的贡献量。结果显示：（1）白垩假木贼（A.cretacea）、高枝假木贼（A.elatior）、毛足假木贼（A.eriopoda）、无叶假木贼（A.aphylla）、盐生假木贼（A.salsa）和展枝假木贼（A.truncata）的潜在适生区集中在新疆北部、天山南麓及塔里木盆地西侧，短叶假木贼（A.brevifolia）的潜在适生区在新疆、甘肃、宁夏和内蒙古的部分地区。（2）中国假木贼属的分布中心在新疆准噶尔盆地、天山南麓、塔里木盆地西侧及甘肃西北部的河西走廊。（3）在19个环境因子中，对中国假木贼属这7个种分布区预测贡献量较大的生态因子是年平均气温、最湿月降水量、最干季度平均温度、平均降水量、最冷季度降水量、年均温变化范围和最湿季度降水量。

关键词: 假木贼属(Anabasis), 最大熵模型(MaxEnt), 潜在分布区, 分布中心, 环境因子

Abstract: Based upon the maximum entropy model and archaeological geographical information system, combined with the geographical distribution records of seven species of Chinese Anabasis and 19 biological climate variables, potential distribution areas and distribution center of Chinese Anabasis were predicted. At the same time, the major climatic factors that impact potential distribution of Chinese Anabasis.were analysed The value of AUC of area under Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve as the prediction accuracy standard of this model, and jackknife test was used to evaluate the contribution of each environmental variable in deciding potential distribution areas. The results show that:(1)A. cretacea, A. elatior, A. eriopoda,A. aphylla, A. salsa, and A. truncata have extensive potential distribution in the north of Xinjiang, the southern slope of Tianshan Mountain and west margin of Tarim Basin. While A. Brevifolia has extensive potential distribution in Xinjiang, Gansu, Ningxia and Inner Mongolia etc. (2)Through the calculation of species richness, we find that the distributional center of Chinese Anabasis L. mainly concentrated in the Xinjiang Junggar basin, southern slope of Tianshan Mountain, west margin of Tarim Basin and Hexi Corridor in the northwest of Gansu. (3)Among 19 environmental variables, there are seven environmental variables, just asannual mean temperature, precipitation of the wettest month, mean temperature of the driest quarter, annual precipitation, precipitation of the coldest quarter, annual mean temperature range and precipitation of the wettest quarter, which show a large amount of contribution to potential distribution of Chinese Anabasis.

Key words: Anabasis, maximum entropy model (MaxEnt), potential suitable distribution areas, distributional center, environmental variable

中图分类号:

Q948.2

汪勇, 闻志彬, 张宏祥, 张明理. 中国假木贼属(Anabasis)的地理分布及潜在分布区预测[J]. 中国沙漠, 2018, 38(5): 1033-1040.

Wang Yong, Wen Zhibin, Zhang Hongxiang, Zhang Mingli. Geographical Distribution and Prediction on Potential Distribution Areas of Anabasis in China[J]. Journal of Desert Research, 2018, 38(5): 1033-1040.

参考文献

[1] 孔宪武,马成功,李安仁,等.中国植物志(第25卷第2分册)[M].北京:科学出版社,1979:144-149.
[2] 吴征镒.中国种子植物属的分布区类型[J].云南植物研究,1991(增刊Ⅳ):1-139.
[3] 冯缨,张明理,卓立,等.国产假木贼属植物微形态特征及其生态意义[J].西北植物学报,2011,31(3):462-467.
[4] 赵一之,朱宗元,刘钟龄,等.新疆北部绿洲-荒漠过渡带植物种类多样性分析[J].干旱区资源与环境,2003,17(1):100-109.
[5] 雍世鹏,朱宗元.论戈壁荒漠植物区系的基本特性[J].内蒙古大学学报(自然科学版),1990,21(2):241-247.
[6] 陈华,李援朝.假木贼属植物化学成分及生物活性研究进展[J].天然产物研究与开发,2004,16(6):585-589.
[7] 潘安定.新疆藜科花粉形态研究[J].干旱区地理,1993,16(1):22-27.
[8] Zaitoun S T,Vorwohl G.Major pollen plant species in relation to honeybees activity in the Jordanian desert area[J].International Journal of Agriculture & Biology,2003,5(4):411-415.
[9] 刘会良,宋明方,段士民,等.古尔班通古特沙漠南缘32种藜科植物种子萌发策略初探[J].中国沙漠,2012,32(2):413-420.
[10] 蒋霞,倪健.西北干旱区10种荒漠植物地理分布与大气候的关系及其可能潜在分布区的估测[J].植物生态学报,2005,29(1):98-107.
[11] 王荷生.植物区系地理研究[M].北京:科学出版社,1992:30-35.
[12] 王娟,倪健.中国北方温带地区5种锦鸡儿植物的分布模拟[J].植物生态学报,2009,33(1):12-24.
[13] 张兴旺,李垚,方炎明.麻栎在中国的地理分布及潜在分布区预测[J].西北植物学报,2014,34(8):1685-1692.
[14] Woodward F I,Williams B G.Climate and plant distribution at global and local scales[J].Plant Ecology,1987,69(1):189-197.
[15] 陈建国,杨扬,孙航.高山植物对全球气候变暖的响应研究进展[J].应用与环境生物学报,2011,17(3):435-446.
[16] 田汉勤,万师强,马克平.全球变化生态学:全球变化与陆地生态系统[J].植物生态学报,2007,31(2):173-174.
[17] Mclaughlin J F,Hellmann J J,Boggs C L,et al.Climate change hastens population extinctions[J].Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America,2002,99(9):6070-6074.
[18] Simon J L,Pimm S L,Gittleman J L,et al.Extinction rates[J].Science,1996,273(5273):293-297.
[19] 马松梅,张明理,张宏祥,等.利用最大熵模型和规则集遗传算法模型预测孑遗植物裸果木的潜在地理分布及格局[J].植物生态学报,2010,34(11):1327-1335.
[20] Guisan A,Zimmermann N E.Predictive habitat distribution models in ecology[J].Ecological Modelling,2000,135(2):147-186.
[21] Iverson L R,Prasad A M.Potential redistribution of tree species habitat under five climate change scenarios in the eastern US[J].Forest Ecology & Management,2002,155(1):205-222.
[22] Stockwell D.The GARP modelling system:problems and solutions to automated spatial prediction[J].International Journal of Geographical Information Science,1999,13(2):143-158.
[23] Pearson R G,Raxworthy C J,Nakamura M,et al.Original article:predicting species distributions from small numbers of occurrence records:a test case using cryptic geckos in Madagascar[J].Journal of Biogeography,2007,34(1):102-117.
[24] 西北师范学院地理系.中国自然地理图集[M].北京:地图出版社,1984:173-184.
[25] 赵哈林,赵学勇,张铜会,等.我国西北干旱区的荒漠化过程及其空间分异规律[J].中国沙漠,2011,31(1):1-8.
[26] 姚玉璧,肖国举,王润元,等.近50年来西北半干旱区气候变化特征[J].干旱区地理,2009,32(2):159-165.
[27] 马松梅,张明理,陈曦.沙冬青属植物在亚洲中部荒漠区的潜在地理分布及驱动因子分析[J].中国沙漠,2012,32(5):1301-1307.
[28] 王运生,谢丙炎,万方浩,等.ROC曲线分析在评价入侵物种分布模型中的应用[J].生物多样性,2007,15(4):365-372.
[29] Raes N,Roos M C,Slik J W,et al.Botanical richness and endemicity patterns of Borneo derived from species distribution models[J].Ecography,2009,32(1):180-192.
[30] 闻志彬,张杰,张明理.中国特有种天山猪毛菜的地理分布及潜在分布区预测[J].植物资源与环境学报,2016,25(1):81-87.
[31] 梁存柱,朱宗元,王炜,等.贺兰山植物群落类型多样性及其空间分异[J].植物生态学报,2004,28(3):361-368.
[32] 狄维忠,田连恕,李智军.贺兰山种子植物区系的特征[J].西北植物学报,1988,8(4):38-50.
[33] 陈鹏,潘晓玲.河西走廊地区植物的区系特征[J].植物研究,2001,21(1):24-30.
[34] 魏文寿,何清,刘明哲,等.准噶尔盆地的气候变化与荒漠环境研究[J].中国沙漠,2003,23(2):101-105.
[35] 路安民.种子植物科属地理[M].北京:科学出版社,1999:25-58.
[36] 吴征镒,孙航,周浙昆,等.中国种子植物区系地理[M].北京:科学出版社,2011:42-51.
[37] 刘媖心.试论我国沙漠地区植物区系的发生与形成[J].植物分类学报,1995,33(2):131-143.
[38] 刘媖心.我国荒漠植物区系形成的探讨[J].植物分类学报,1982,20(2):131-141.
[39] 郑度,姚檀栋.青藏高原隆升及其环境效应[J].地球科学进展,2006,21(5):451-458.
[40] 朱格麟.藜科植物的起源、分化和地理分布[J].植物分类学报,1996,34(5):486-504.
[41] 张道远,潘伯荣,尹林克.柽柳科柽柳属的植物地理研究[J].植物分类与资源学报,2003,25(4):415-427.
[42] 黄俊华.中国猪毛菜属(Salsola L.)植物的地理分布特点[J].干旱区地理,2005,28(3):325-329.
[43] Ryabushkina N,Gemedjieva N,Kobaisy M,et al.Brief review of Kazakhstan flora and use of its wild species[J].The Asian and Australian Journal of Plant Science and Biotechnology,2008,2(2):64-71.