img

官方微信

  • CN 62-1070/P
  • ISSN 1000-694X
  • 双月刊 创刊于1981年
高级检索
天气与气候

基于改进型垂直干旱指数的塔里木河流域绿洲与荒漠区干旱时空变化对比

展开
  • 1. 中国科学院新疆生态与地理研究所 荒漠与绿洲生态国家重点实验室, 新疆 乌鲁木齐 830011;
    2. 中国科学院大学, 北京 100049
郭浩(1989-),男,山东临沂人,博士研究生,主要从事气候变化与干旱研究。E-mail:casguohao@163.com

收稿日期: 2015-11-15

  修回日期: 2016-04-26

  网络出版日期: 2017-07-20

基金资助

国家自然科学基金项目(41171295),新疆维吾尔自治区重大专项课题(201230117-1),中国科学院战略性先导科技专项(XDA05050104)

MPDI-based Comparison on Spatiotemporal Variation of Drought over Oasis and Desert in Tarim Basin

Expand
  • 1. State Key Laboratory of Desert and Oasis Ecology, Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi 830011, China;
    2. University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China

Received date: 2015-11-15

  Revised date: 2016-04-26

  Online published: 2017-07-20

摘要

利用2001-2013年8天合成MODIS A1时间序列数据计算改进型垂直干旱指数(MPDI),应用趋势性分析、重标极差(R/S)分析等方法研究了塔里木河流域绿洲与荒漠区干旱时空变化状况及其可能原因。结果表明:在过去13年,塔里木河流域绿洲与荒漠区总体呈湿润趋势,绿洲稳中转湿,湿润趋势较明显且幅度较大;而荒漠区相对稳定,湿润趋势相对较小。绿洲与荒漠大部分地区未来变化趋势与过去13年变化趋势呈现较高的一致性。塔里木河干流上游、中游部分地区、尉犁县部分灌区等区域出现持续性干旱迹象,应引起相关管理部门的重视。

本文引用格式

郭浩, 古丽·加帕尔, 包安明, 罗敏 . 基于改进型垂直干旱指数的塔里木河流域绿洲与荒漠区干旱时空变化对比[J]. 中国沙漠, 2017 , 37(4) : 775 -783 . DOI: 10.7522/j.issn.1000-694X.2016.00057

Abstract

Based on a regression analysis and Hurst index method,this study calculated the Modified Perpendicular Drought Index (MPDI) from 2001 to 2013 to investigated the spatial-temporal characteristics of droughts over oasis and desert of Tarim basin by using 8-day combined MODIS A1 dataset.The main results indicate that:both oasis and desert tend to be wetter.The oasis became wetter than before,and the amplitude of this trend over oasis is relatively larger than that over desert which is much more stable.According to the results of spatial distribution and statistical results of Hurst,the future trend seems to be consistent with the last 13 years.It is should be noted that some regions,such as the upstream region and midstream region of Tarim,the southeastern parts of irrigated area in Yuli county,show a persistent drier trend.The water resources management department and other relevant departments should pay more attention on such phenomenon.

参考文献

[1] 陈燕,玉米提·哈力克,汪飞,等.塔里木河下游生态退化成因分析[J].新疆农业科学,2009,46(1):156-160.
[2] 赵振勇,王让会,张慧芝,等.塔里木河下游荒漠生态系统退化机制分析[J].中国沙漠,2006,26(2):220-225.
[3] 周孝明,陈亚宁,李卫红,等.近50年来塔里木河流域下游生态系统退化社会经济因素分析[J].资源科学,2008,30(9):1389-1396.
[4] 毛炜峄,高前兆,秦莉,等.塔里木河干流输水运行对河流生态功效的分析[J].干旱区地理,2008,31(4):604-614.
[5] 樊自立,徐海量,傅荩仪,等.塔里木河下游生态保护目标和措施[J].中国沙漠,2013,33(4):1191-1197.
[6] 傅荩仪,徐海量,赵新风,等.漫溢干扰对塔里木河河岸退化植被的影响[J].中国沙漠,2014,34(1):60-66.
[7] Meteorological Drought-Policy Statement[C].Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society,1997:847-849.
[8] 袁文平,周广胜.标准化降水指标与Z指数在我国应用的对比分析[J].植物生态学报,2004,28(4):523-529.
[9] 王劲松,郭江勇,周跃武,等.干旱指标研究的进展与展望[J].干旱区地理,2007,30(1):60-65.
[10] 宋炜.遥感监测干旱的方法综述[J].中国西部科技,2011,10(13):42-43,74.
[11] 杨涛,宫辉力,李小娟,等.土壤水分遥感监测研究进展[J].生态学报,2010,30(22):6264-6277.
[12] Patel N,Anapashsha R,Kumar S,et al.Assessing potential of MODIS derived temperature/vegetation condition index (TVDI) to infer soil moisture status[J].International Journal of Remote Sensing,2009,30(1):23-39.
[13] Gao Z,Gao W,Chang N B.Integrating temperature vegetation dryness index(TVDI) and regional water stress index(RWSI) for drought assessment with the aid of LANDSAT TM/ETM+ images[J].International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation,2011,13(3):495-503.
[14] 杜晓,王世新,周艺,等.一种新的基于MODIS的地表含水量模型构造与验证[J].武汉大学学报:信息科学版,2007,32(3):205-207,211.
[15] 王娇,丁建丽,袁泽,等.基于特征空间的绿洲土壤水分监测算法改进[J].中国沙漠,2016,36(6):1606-1612.
[16] 张喆,丁建丽,李鑫,等.TVDI用于干旱区农业旱情监测的适宜性[J].中国沙漠,2015,35(1):220-227.
[17] 李森,颜长珍,谢家丽.腾格里沙漠东南缘不同固定程度沙地土壤表层水分时空变化遥感分析[J].中国沙漠,2016,36(3):734-740.
[18] 詹志明,秦其明,阿布都瓦斯提·吾拉木,等.基于NIR-Red光谱特征空间的土壤水分监测新方法[J].中国科学(D辑):地球科学,2006,36(11):1020-1026.
[19] Ghulam A,Qin Q,Zhan Z.Designing of the perpendicular drought index[J].Environmental Geology,2007,52(6):1045-1052.
[20] Ghulam A,Qin Q,Teyip T,et al.Modified perpendicular drought index(MPDI):a real-time drought monitoring method[J].ISPRS Journal of Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing,2007,62(2):150-164.
[21] 周正明.遥感光谱指数反演土壤水分及干旱时空分布研究[D].北京:中国气象科学研究院,2013.
[22] 秦其明,姚云军,游林,等.基于PDI、MPDI和SPSI的农田干旱监测研究[C].遥感定量反演算法研讨会,北京,2010.
[23] 杨学斌,秦其明,姚云军,等.PDI与MPDI在内蒙古干旱监测中的应用和比较[J].武汉大学学报:信息科学版,2011,36(2):195-198.
[24] Shahabfar A,Ghulam A,Eitzinger J.Drought monitoring in Iran using the perpendicular drought indices[J]. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation,2012,18:119-127.
[25] Ghulam A,Qin Q,Kusky T,et al.A re examination of perpendicular drought indices[J].International Journal of Remote Sensing,2008,29(20):6037-6044.
[26] Zang J H,Zhou Z M,Yao F M,et al.Validating the modified perpendicular drought index in the North China region using in situ soil moisture measurement[J].Geoscience and Remote Sensing Letters,IEEE,2015,12(3):542-546.
[27] 师庆东,肖继东,潘晓玲,等.近20 a来新疆植被覆盖变化特征研究[J].干旱区研究,2004,21(4):389-394.
[28] Baret F,Clevers J,Steven M.The robustness of canopy gap fraction estimates from red and near-infrared reflectances:a comparison of approaches[J].Remote Sensing of Environment,1995,54(2):141-151.
[29] Hurst H E.Long-term storage capacity of reservoirs[J].Transactions of the American Society of Civil Engineers,1951,116(1):770-799.
[30] Sánchez Granero M A,Trinidad Segovia J E,Garcia Pérez J. Some comments on Hurst exponent and the long memory processes on capital markets[J].Physica A:Statistical Mechanics and its Applications,2008,387(22):5543-5551.
[31] Peng J,Liu Z,Liu Y,et al.Trend analysis of vegetation dynamics in Qinghai Tibet Plateau using Hurst Exponent[J].Ecological Indicators,2012,14(1):28-39.
[32] Guli J,Liang S,Yi Q,et al.Vegetation dynamics and responses to recent climate change in Xinjiang using leaf area index as an indicator[J].Ecological Indicators,2015,58:64-76.
[33] Cao L,Xu J,Chen Y,et al.Understanding the dynamic coupling between vegetation cover and climatic factors in a semiarid region-a case study of Inner Mongolia,China[J].Ecohydrology,2013,6(6):917-926.
[34] Wang Y,Hou X,Wang M,et al.Topographic controls on vegetation index in a hilly landscape:a case study in the Jiaodong Peninsula,eastern China[J].Environmental Earth Sciences,2013,70(2):625-634.
[35] Liu X,Zhang J,Zhu X,et al.Spatiotemporal changes in vegetation coverage and its driving factors in the Three-River Headwaters Region during 2000-2011[J].Journal of Geographical Sciences,2014,24(2):288-302.
[36] Jiang W,Yuan L,Wang W,et al.Spatio-temporal analysis of vegetation variation in the Yellow River Basin[J].Ecological Indicators,2015,51:117-126.
[37] Li S,Yan J,Liu X,et al.Response of vegetation restoration to climate change and human activities in Shaanxi-Gansu-Ningxia Region[J].Journal of Geographical Sciences,2013,23(1):98-112.
[38] Hou X,Wu T,Yu L,et al.Characteristics of multi-temporal scale variation of vegetation coverage in the Circum Bohai Bay Region,1999-2009[J].Acta Ecologica Sinica,2012,32(6):297-304.
[39] 刘宪锋,任志远,林志慧,等.2000-2011年三江源区植被覆盖时空变化特征[J].地理学报,2013(7):897-908.
[40] 王进,龚伟华,沈永平,等.塔里木河干流上游中、下段河床淤积和耗水对生态环境的影响[J].冰川冻土,2009(6):1086-1093.
[41] 满苏尔·沙比提,努尔卡木里·玉素甫.塔里木河流域绿洲耕地变化及其河流水文效应[J].地理研究,2010,29(12):2251-2260.
[42] 张宏安,曹海涛,李晓铃,等.塔里木河干流输水堤建设对两岸天然植被的影响及保护对策[J].水电站设计,2004,21(1):91-93.
[43] 何玉春,魏光辉.新疆尉犁县农业用水现状及应对措施[J].水利技术监督,2013(2):18-21.
[44] 米雪晶.尉犁县绿洲用地变化及其可持续利用研究[D].乌鲁木齐:新疆大学2010.
文章导航

/