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JOURNAL OF DESERT RESEARCH  2013, Vol. 33 Issue (5): 1483-1491    DOI: 10.7522/j.issn.1000-694X.2013.00214
Weather and Climate     
A Synoptic Analysis on Forecasting of Sand-Dust Storm in November over Inner Mongolia
LI Yi-ping1, DELE Gerima1,2, SI Qin1, WU Xue-hong1
1.Inner Mongolia Meteorological Observatory, Hohhot 010051, China;
2.Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing 210044, China
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Abstract  

A detailed analysis on a missing-reported sand-dust process in western Inner Mongolia during November of 2010 is made in this paper. Based on sounding data, surface observations and numerical forecast products which are available in weather prediction, many aspects concerning this sand-dust process are analyzed from a practical forecast perspective, including weather conditions for sand-dust process, the evolution of large scale circulation which may cause other hazard weather, and climate probability of sand-dust process. The results showed that: (1) Sand-dust process always is accompanied by windy weather, but the drop zone of sand-dust weather and windy weather are different. The wind weather always occurs before the sand-dust weather. (2)There will be obvious warming process before the sand-dust weather, and the cold wave or precipitation sometimes occur after the sand-dust weather. (3) Strong atmospheric baroclinic instability is the main reason of the sand-dust weather and strong wind. (4) The prefrontal ascending motion is strong and could reach the middle-high level of troposphere (higher than 400 hPa). (5) The whole level vorticity zone is positive during the sand-dust process. (6) During the sand-dust process, the development of deep mixed layer in the afternoon is contributed to the downward transportation of upper air momentum and strong wind. Finally, the analysis on this missing-reported sand-dust process will remind forecasters to increase forecasting sensitivity to multi-hazard weathers which appear simultaneously and to avoid the missing-report of hazards whose frequency is less.

Key words:  dust weather      less occurred period      missing forecast      key element      sensitivity     
Received:  10 August 2012      Published:  09 October 2012
ZTFLH:  P425.55  

Cite this article: 

LI Yi-ping1, DELE Gerima1,2, SI Qin1, WU Xue-hong1. A Synoptic Analysis on Forecasting of Sand-Dust Storm in November over Inner Mongolia. JOURNAL OF DESERT RESEARCH, 2013, 33(5): 1483-1491.

URL: 

http://www.desert.ac.cn/EN/10.7522/j.issn.1000-694X.2013.00214     OR     http://www.desert.ac.cn/EN/Y2013/V33/I5/1483

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