Future Trend Characteristics of Hydrological Time Series in the Weiganhhe River Basin

doi:10.7522/j.issn.1000-694X.2015.00095

JOURNAL OF DESERT RESEARCH ›› 2016, Vol. 36 ›› Issue (6): 1713-1720.DOI: 10.7522/j.issn.1000-694X.2015.00095

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Future Trend Characteristics of Hydrological Time Series in the Weiganhhe River Basin

Li Rui^1,2,3, Zhang Fei^1,2,3, Gao Yuxiao^1,2, Zhou Mei^1,2,3, Li Xiaohang^1,2,3, Wang Dongfang^1,2,3

1. College of Resources and Environment Science, Xinjiang University, Urumqi 830046, China;
2. Key Laboratory of Oasis Ecology under Ministry of Education, Xinjiang University, Urumqi 830046, China;
3. General Institutes of Higher Learning Key Laboratory of Smart City and Environmental Modeling, Xinjiang University, Urumqi 830046, China

Received:2015-03-24 Revised:2015-06-21

Abstract

Abstract: Every river system has its own unique flow variation. In this paper, we discussed the problem of the R/S and Mann-Kendall method used in hydrological time series, and presented a method of the combination of R/S and Mann-Kendall to analyze future trend characteristics of hydrological time series, taking the Langan Reservoir Station, Heizi Reservoir Station, Thousand Buddha Cave (synthetic) Reservoir Station as examples. The results show that:the Hearst index for the three stations were all less than 0.5, UF_k were all more than 0, indicating a significant decline flow in future.

Key words: R/S method, Mann-Kendall method, hydrological time series, trend characteristics

CLC Number:

P344

Li Rui, Zhang Fei, Gao Yuxiao, Zhou Mei, Li Xiaohang, Wang Dongfang. Future Trend Characteristics of Hydrological Time Series in the Weiganhhe River Basin[J]. JOURNAL OF DESERT RESEARCH, 2016, 36(6): 1713-1720.

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Future Trend Characteristics of Hydrological Time Series in the Weiganhhe River Basin

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