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JOURNAL OF DESERT RESEARCH ›› 2016, Vol. 36 ›› Issue (5): 1278-1285.DOI: 10.7522/j.issn.1000-694X.2015.00150

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Reconstruction and Comparative Analysis of Dry/Wet Series during 1470-2008 in Northwest China

He Ze1,2, He Yuanqing1, Wang Shijin1, Pang Juan1,2,3, Xin Huijuan1,2, Liu Jing1   

  1. 1. State Key Laboratory of Cryospheric Sciences, Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou 730000, China;
    2. University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China;
    3. Lanzhou University of Technology, Lanzhou 730030, China
  • Received:2015-04-23 Revised:2015-06-27 Online:2016-09-20 Published:2016-09-20

Abstract: Based on the historical record, dry/wet series since 1470-2008 AD in Northwest China were reconstructed and analyzed. The dry/wet series for 7 regions are expressed by five grades, and dry/wet climate is obtained from a cluster analysis on annual data during 1470-2008 at 19 stations in Northwest China. The variation feature of the dry/wet series, such as phase characteristics, periodicity and abrupt change, are presented. The results show that the reconstruction of sequence reliability is high, and it can be used as a dry/wet climate change research. Wavelet analysis shows that those periodicities existed in the last 500 years, such as the periods of around 11 year, 25-35 year, 80-100 year. Among them, 11 years and 35 years periodicities in the whole analysis period are relatively stable than 80-100 years periodicities. The signs of abrupt changes in the 7 regional dry/wet series were detected by moving t-test. It is indicated that abrupt climatic changes have occurred for every regions in Northwest China during 1470-2008 AD. Both edge of the study area, such as Shaanxi and Yushu, abrupt signal appears fewest times; Ningxia and Golmud is second; the signal appears most times in the middle study area such as Lanzhou, Zhang ye, Xining. It means middle area is the sensitive area of dry/wet climate change. The dry/wet abrupt signal mainly concentrated in the 17th century, dry/wet climate change in recent century is relatively stable.

Key words: dry/wet climate, climate reconstruction, periodicities, abrupt change, Northwest China

CLC Number: