| 水文与水资源 |
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| Study of Water Resources Carrying Capacity in Tarim River Basin of Xinjiang |
| MENG Li hong; CHEN Ya ning; LI Wei hong |
| Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi 830011, China |
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Abstract This paper primarily explores the method of comprehensive evaluation of water resources carrying capacity of inland river basin in arid northwest China, and sets up an evaluation model by applying the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method to Tarim river basin. Based on the data of nature, society, economics and water resources of Tarim River in 2002.This paper evaluated the water resources carrying capacity by means of the model. The selected evaluation factors include irrigation ratio of arable land, use efficiency of water resources,water supply modulus,water demand modulus , per capita practical water supply and ecological water use ratio. The evaluated results show that the comprehensive grade of Tarim river basin is 0.492, and the current water exploitation and use has reached a relative high degree, and there is only a very limited water carrying capacity. It is necessary to strengthen water resources integrated management in order to utilize water resources scientifically and reasonably.
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Received: 10 November 2006
Published: 20 January 2008
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2008, Vol. 28 
