Climatic Characteristics and Short-term Forecast of Sandstorm in East of Hexi Corridor

doi:10.7522/j.issn.1000-694X.2014.00220

JOURNAL OF DESERT RESEARCH ›› 2016, Vol. 36 ›› Issue (2): 449-457.DOI: 10.7522/j.issn.1000-694X.2014.00220

Previous Articles Next Articles

Climatic Characteristics and Short-term Forecast of Sandstorm in East of Hexi Corridor

Yang Xiaoling^1,2, Ding Wenkui¹, Wang Heling², Zhang Aiping³, Zhou Hua⁴

1. Wuwei Meteorological Bureau, Wuwei 733000, Gansu, China;
2. Key Laboratory of Arid Climatic Change and Reducing Disaster of Gansu Province/Key Open Laboratory of Arid Climate Change and Disaster Reduction of CMA, Institute of Arid Meteorology, China Meteorological Administration, Lanzhou 730020, China;
3. Minqin Meteorological Bureau, Minqin 733300, Gansu, China;
4. Gulang Meteorological Bureau, Gulang 733400, Gansu, China

Received:2014-11-27 Revised:2014-12-29 Online:2016-03-20 Published:2016-03-20

Abstract

Abstract: Sandstorm is one of the most frequent disaster in eastern of Hexi Corridor. In this paper, using monthly sandstorm data of five meteorological stations in eastern of Hexi Corridor during 1961-2014, temporal and spatial distribution characteristics and change trend of sandstorm days were systematically analyzed by statistical methods. Besides, with daily NCEP reanalysis data with 1°×1° resolution during 1990-2009, the sandstorm weather circulation pattern were formed according to north-south airflow configuration, different levels and different physical quantities were analyzed and calculated by methods of diagnosis, factor combination and daily experience forecast. Further empirical prediction factor database were composed, the diagnostic forecast model of sandstorm weather was set up by diagnostic analysis methods which include linear correlation coefficient, empirical prediction and maximum proximity principle. Results showed that sandstorm days in low altitude area were more than that in high altitude area because of weather system, landform and altitude. Sandstorm days showed obvious reducing trend at year and decade scales, the decrease rate was Minqin > Liangzhou > Yongchang > Gulang > Tianzhu. Annual sandstorm days had 5-6 a quasi-periodic variation, and mutation occurred in north, but no mutation in south. Monthly variation of sandstorm days was consistent for different areas, and the peak occurred in April but the trough was in September and October. Sandstorm days were the most in spring, but the least in autumn. Sandstorm circulation pattern was divided into three categories, including northwest airflow, southwest airflow and westerly airflow. The forecast indexes and thresholds of different sandstorm types were identified, and the forecast accuracy rate of diagnostic model was above 73.3% with a high prediction level.

Key words: sandstorm, climatic characteristics, circulation pattern, diagnostic forecast model, Hexi Corridor

CLC Number:

P457

Yang Xiaoling, Ding Wenkui, Wang Heling, Zhang Aiping, Zhou Hua. Climatic Characteristics and Short-term Forecast of Sandstorm in East of Hexi Corridor[J]. JOURNAL OF DESERT RESEARCH, 2016, 36(2): 449-457.

References

[1] 中国气象局.地面气象观测规范[M].北京:气象出版社,2003.
[2] 朱炳海,王鹏飞,束家鑫.气象学词典[M].上海:上海辞书出版社,1985.
[3] 曾庆存,董超华,彭公炳,等.千里黄云-东亚沙尘暴研究[M].北京:科学出版社,2006.
[4] 沈志宝,文军.沙漠地区春季的大气浑浊度及沙尘天气对地面辐射平衡的影响[J].高原气象,1994,13(3):330-338.
[5] 邱新法,曾燕,缪启龙.我国沙尘暴的时空分布规律及其源地和移动路径[J].地理学报,2001,56(3):316-322.
[6] 周自江,王锡稳,牛若芸.近47年中国沙尘暴气候特征研究[J].应用气象学报,2002,13(2):193-200.
[7] 范一大,史培军,朱爱军,等.中国北方沙尘暴与气候因素关系分析[J].自然灾害学报,2006,15(5):12-18.
[8] 杜吴鹏,高庆先,王跃思,等.沙尘天气对我国北方城市大气环境质量的影响[J].环境科学研究,2009,22(9):1021-1026.
[9] 张增祥,周全斌,刘斌,等.中国北方沙尘灾害特点及其下垫面状况的遥感监测[J].遥感学报,2001,5(5):377-382.
[10] 苟诗薇,伍永秋,夏冬冬,等.青藏高原冬、春季沙尘暴频次时空分布特征及其环流背景[J].自然灾害学报,2012,21(5):135-143.
[11] 柳丹,张武,陈艳,等.基于卫星遥感的中国西北地区沙尘天气发生机理及传输路径分析[J].中国沙漠,2014,34(6):1605-1616.
[12] 王式功,董光荣,陈惠忠,等.沙尘暴研究的进展[J].中国沙漠,2000,20(4):349-356.
[13] 王涛,陈广庭,钱正安,等.中国北方沙尘暴现状及对策[J].中国沙漠,2001,21(4):322-327.
[14] 王式功,杨德保,孟梅芝,等.甘肃河西"5.5"黑风天气系统结构及其成因分析[C]//方宗义.中国沙尘暴研究,北京:气象出版社,1996:62-64.
[15] 赵晶,徐建华.河西走廊沙尘暴频数的时序分形特征[J].中国沙漠,2003,23(4):415-419.
[16] 江灏,吴虹,尹宪志,等.河西走廊沙尘暴的时空变化特征与其环流背景[J].高原气象,2004,23(4):248-552.
[17] 杨晓玲,丁文魁,钱莉,等.一次区域性大风沙尘暴天气成因分析[J].中国沙漠,2005,25(5):702-705.
[18] 张锦春,赵明,方峨天,等.民勤沙尘源区近地面降尘特征研究[J].环境科学研究,2008,21(3):17-21.
[19] 杨先荣,王劲松,张锦泉,等.高空急流带对甘肃沙尘暴强度的影响[J].中国沙漠,2011,31(4):1046-1051.
[20] 李岩瑛,杨晓玲,王式功.河西走廊东部近50 a沙尘暴成因、危害及防御对策[J].中国沙漠,2002,22(3):283-287.
[21] 白肇烨,许国昌,孙学筠,等.中国西北天气[M].北京:气象出版社,1988:230-240.
[22] 魏凤英.现代气候统计诊断与预测技术[M].北京:气象出版社,2007:37-41.
[23] 施能,马丽,袁晓玉,等.近50 a浙江省气候变化特征分析[J].南京气象学院学报,2001,24(2):207-213.
[24] Livezey R E,Chen W Y.Statistical filed significance and its determination by monte carlo techniques[J].Monthly Weather Review,1983,111(1):46-59.
[25] 周石清,陈建江,耿峻岭.单因子方差分析法对三屯河年均流量序列的周期分析[J].新疆水利,2001(3):25-29.
[26] 王媛媛,张勃.陇东地区近51 a气温时空变化特征[J].中国沙漠,2012,32(5):1402-1407.
[27] 杜军,李春,廖健,等.近45年拉萨浅层地温对气候变化的响应[J].气象,2007,33(10):61-67.
[28] 丁文魁,杨晓玲.石羊河流域面雨量预报方法研究[J].水资源与水工程学报,2011,22(5):69-73.
[29] 俞善贤.一个着眼于预测能力及稳定性的因子普查方法[J].气象,1991,17(9):40-43.
[30] 陈百炼.降水温度分县客观预报方法研究[J].气象,2003,29(8):48-51.
[31] 牛叔超,朱桂林,李燕,等.T106产品夏季相对湿度概率预报自动化系统[J].气象,2000,26(3):37-39.
[32] 王立荣,王丽荣,匡顺四,等.对流参数气候特征在短期预报中的应用[J].气象与环境学报,2008,24(5):38-41.
[33] 李耀辉,沈洁,赵建华,等.地形对民勤沙尘暴发生发展影响的模拟研究——以一次特强沙尘暴为例[J].中国沙漠,2014,34(3):849-860.
[34] 郭铌,张杰,韩涛,等.西北特殊地形与沙尘暴发生的关系探讨[J].中国沙漠,2004,24(5):576-581.

Climatic Characteristics and Short-term Forecast of Sandstorm in East of Hexi Corridor

PDF

Knowledge

Abstract

Cite this article

share this article

References

Related Articles 15

Recommended Articles

Metrics

Comments

[1]	Chuanhua Li, Huanhuan Yin, Tongbin Zhu, Min Zhou, Yutao Wang, Hao Sun, Hongjuan Cao, Haiyan Han. Impact of drought on net primary productivity of vegetation in arid and semi-arid areas： a case study of Hexi Corridor [J]. Journal of Desert Research, 2021, 41(1): 145-155.
[2]	Zhou Lifeng, Yang Rong, Zhao Wenzhi. Temporal evolution of soil water repellency in stabilized sand dunes in artificial sand fixation vegetation area on fringe of a desert [J]. Journal of Desert Research, 2020, 40(3): 185-192.
[3]	Wang Juan, Li Xingcai. Exploration of the atmospheric electricity at 5-7 000 m height in sandstorm and its effect on the electrification of sands [J]. Journal of Desert Research, 2020, 40(1): 23-28.
[4]	Li Yanying, Zhang Aiping, Li Hongying, Wang Fucun, Chen Ying, Zeng Ting. Relationship between Boundary Layer Height and Wind-sand Intensities over Hexi Corridor, China [J]. Journal of Desert Research, 2019, 39(5): 11-20.
[5]	Wang Xinyuan, Liu Shizeng, Chen Xiangshun, Wang Xiaojun, Wang Bin, Wan Xiang. Dynamic Changes and Driving Factors of Oasis in Hexi Corridor [J]. Journal of Desert Research, 2019, 39(4): 212-219.
[6]	Pan Kaijia, Zhang Zhengcai, Dong Zhibao, Zhang Caixia, Li Xingcai. Physicochemical Characteristics of Surface Sediments of Crescent-shaped Sand Dunes in the Hexi Corridor, Gansu, China [J]. Journal of Desert Research, 2019, 39(1): 44-51.
[7]	Zhang Jian, Chen Jia, Huang Xin, Wang Ziqiao. Spatio-temporal Evolution of Urban Economic Vulnerability and Influence Factors in the Hexi Corridor Region: Restriction of Water Resources [J]. Journal of Desert Research, 2019, 39(1): 203-211.
[8]	Bai Xiaoping, Jin Shuanglong, Wang Shigong, Shang Kezheng, Zhao Lu. Spatio-temporal Characteristics of the Short-time Heavy Rainfall in the East of Northwest China [J]. JOURNAL OF DESERT RESEARCH, 2018, 38(2): 410-417.
[9]	Yuan Guobo. Characteristics and Cause of the Sandstorm in Inner Mongolia in 2001—2015 [J]. JOURNAL OF DESERT RESEARCH, 2017, 37(6): 1204-1209.
[10]	Li Danhua, Long Xiao, Wen Xiaopei, Jiang Yin, Meng Xiaowen. Influence of Underlying Surface on Dust Weatherin the Entrance of the Hexi Corridor [J]. JOURNAL OF DESERT RESEARCH, 2017, 37(6): 1210-1218.
[11]	Guan Mengluan, Zhang Zhengcai, Dong Zhibao. Wind-blown Sand Disaster Risk Assessment in the Hexi Corridor Based on RS and GIS [J]. JOURNAL OF DESERT RESEARCH, 2017, 37(5): 830-835.
[12]	Lang Lili, Wang Xunming, Zhu Bingqi, Wang Xiangdong, Hua Ting, Wang Guangtao, Li Hui, Zhang Caixia. Nebkha Formation and Variations in Sediment Availability and Wind-energy Regime of the Western Hexi Corridor over the Past Several Decades [J]. JOURNAL OF DESERT RESEARCH, 2017, 37(4): 611-620.
[13]	Qian Li, Yao Yubi, Yang Xin, Liu Juju. An Analysis of Sandstorm Weather Process in the Hexi Corridor in Summer [J]. JOURNAL OF DESERT RESEARCH, 2016, 36(2): 458-466.
[14]	Meng Xuefeng, Sun Yonggang, Zhong Xia, Xun Xueyi. A Snow and Dust Weather Process in Inner Mongolia on February 21, 2015 [J]. JOURNAL OF DESERT RESEARCH, 2016, 36(1): 239-246.
[15]	Luo Jingning, Xu Zhe, Qi Yonggang. Global Dust Remote Sensing with the FengYun-3 Satellite [J]. JOURNAL OF DESERT RESEARCH, 2015, 35(3): 690-698.