| 生物土壤与生态 |
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| Spatio-temporal Pattern Dynamic of Cotton Plantation in Xinjiang and its Driving Forces |
| YANG Li1,2,3, YANG De-gang1, ZHANG Yu-fang1,3, WANG Guo-gang1,3, TANG Hong1,3 |
| 1.Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi 830011, China; 2.China Development Bank Corporation Guangxi Branch, Nanning 530028, China; 3.Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China |
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Abstract Xinjiang is the biggest cotton planting province in China. The cotton industry has a irreplaceable position in the development of rural economy and regional economy in Xinjiang. Through statistical analysis, the spatio-temporal distribution, main driving factors of cotton plantation dynamic are researched. The cotton plantation area has been increasing quickly since 1949 in Xinjiang, and its variation existed fluctuation and could be divided into several phases. There are three main cotton plantation area in Xinjiang: the South Xinjiang cotton plantation area, the North Xinjiang cotton plantation area, and the East Xinjiang cotton plantation area. The change of the South Xinjiang cotton plantation area was the most obvious. In relation with oasis distribution, the cotton plantation area in the oasis of the Tarim River Basin and the northwest border oasis belt changed obviously. Grey correlation analysis showed the yield per cotton plantation unit area had the most close correlation with cotton plantation area, and the function relationship model showed that the elasticity coefficient is 0.883. According to the associative degree and economic development, the 39 cities and counties in South Xinjiang can be clustered into three types suitable for cotton plantation, namely the most suitable area, suitable area and unsuitable area. The suitable area reaches 50%, and it shows that the development degree of cotton plantation in South Xinjing is suitable at present.
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Received: 17 May 2010
Published: 20 March 2011
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2011, Vol. 31 
