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中国沙漠 ›› 1996, Vol. 11 ›› Issue (2): 127-131.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

中国沙漠化危险度评价与发展趋势分析

董玉祥   

  1. 中山大学城市与资源规划系, 广州 510275
  • 收稿日期:1995-07-05 修回日期:1996-02-04 出版日期:1996-06-20 发布日期:1996-06-20
  • 基金资助:
    "八·五"国家攻关项目: 农牧交错带沙害监测评价(85-724-01-08)

STUDY ON THE ASSESSMENT OF HAZARD DEGREE AND ANALYSIS OF DEVELOPMENT TREND OF SANDY DESERTIFICATION IN CHINA

Dong Yuxiang   

  1. Department of Urfan and Resaurces Planning, Zhongshan University, Guengzhou 510275
  • Received:1995-07-05 Revised:1996-02-04 Online:1996-06-20 Published:1996-06-20

摘要: 利用文中建立的沙漠化危险度综合评价模型, 首次对我国沙漠化涉及的212个县(旗、市)的沙漠化危害度进行了评价, 结果其危险度为76个轻度、93个中度和43个重度。依据危险度对沙漠化未来发展程度的特有代表意义, 本世纪末我国将有96个县(旗、市)的沙漠化的程度升级, 其中71个由轻度升级为中度、18个由中度上升为重度和7个由轻度跃升为重度, 沙漠化发展的形势严峻。

关键词: 沙漠化, 危险度, 趋势

Abstract: This paper,on the basis of concept of hazard degree of sandy desertification, establishes the criteria system of hazard degree assessment and gives its assessment model, and makes use of this assessment method to assess the hazard degree of sandy desertification of each county in which there is sandy desertification problem in China. It is proved that the hazard degrees of 76 counties belong to slight degree, 93 middle degrees and 43 severe degrees. From comparison between hazard degree and status now, it is believed that the sandy desertification degrees of 96 counties will go up with the development of sandy desertification, of which the degrees of 71 counties will go up from slight degree to middle degree, 18 counties from middle to severe and 7 counties from slight to severe.

Key words: Sandy desertification, Hazard degree, Trend