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中国沙漠 ›› 2011, Vol. 31 ›› Issue (5): 1323-1329.

• 天气与气候 • 上一篇    下一篇

河西走廊近40 a气候生产潜力特征研究

郭小芹1,2, 刘明春2   

  1. 1.中国气象局兰州干旱气象研究所 甘肃省干旱气候变化与减灾重点实验室/中国气象局干旱气候变化与减灾重点开放实验室, 甘肃 兰州 730020; 2.甘肃省武威市气象局, 甘肃 武威 733000
  • 收稿日期:2010-12-09 修回日期:2011-02-28 出版日期:2011-09-20 发布日期:2011-09-20

Spatiotemporal Characteristics of Climate Productivity Potential during Last 40 Years in the Hexi Corridor

GUO Xiao-qin1,2, LIU Ming-chun2   

  1. 1.Key Laboratory of Arid Climatic Change and Reducing Disaster of Gansu Province; Key Open Laboratory of Arid Climate Change and Disaster Reduction of CMA, Lanzhou Institute of Arid Meteorology, China Meteorological Administration, Lanzhou 730020, China; 2.Wuwei Meteorological Bureau, Wuwei 733000, Gansu, China
  • Received:2010-12-09 Revised:2011-02-28 Online:2011-09-20 Published:2011-09-20

摘要: 根据河西走廊20个气象台站1971—2006年4—9月温度和降水资料,采用Thornthwaite Memorial模型计算气候生产潜力,使用Mann-Kendall检验、EOF经验正交函数、敏感性分析等研究其时空变化特征。分析表明,河西走廊农业气候资源与地理分布显著相关,东南部明显优于西北部。气候变化显著趋暖,气候生产潜力减少趋势明显,减少中心向西偏移,严重限制了西部农业发展。气候生产潜力对温度响应东部比西部明显,特别是祁连山东段增暖增益显著;对降水响应西部比东部明显,尤其是西部及临近沙漠边缘地带干旱区增湿增益显著; 暖湿效应使气候生产潜力普遍增加。在农业集中区降水对气候生产潜力影响比温度显著,从根本上看降水是研究区域农业增产的首要因素。

关键词: 气候生产潜力, 时空特征, 河西走廊

Abstract: Based on temperature and precipitation data of the summer half year during 1971—2006 from 20 meteorological stations in the Hexi Corridor, the climate productivity potential was calculated by making use of the Thornthwaite Memorial model. Mann-Kendall, EOF and sensitivity analysis were used to study its temporal and spatial changes. The results showed that agro-climatic resources and geographic location were closely related, and the southeast of the Hexi Corridor was superior to the northwest. A significant warming in the Hexi Corridor in recent years reduced the climate productivity potential significantly, and the maximum reduction center of the climate productivity potential shifted westward in these years, and it severely limited the agricultural production in western Hexi Corridor. The response of climate productivity potential to temperature was more obvious in eastern Hexi Corridor than in western Hexi Corridor, and response of the climate productivity potential to precipitation was more obvious in western Hexi Corridor, especially in the desert edge, than in eastern Hexi Corridor. The climate productivity potential increased generally under the background of warming and wetting. The influence of precipitation on climate productivity potential is more obvious than that of the temperature in agricultural areas, so precipitation is the most important factor influencing climatic productivity potential.

Key words: climate productivity potential, spatiotemporal change, Hexi Corridor

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