Spatiotemporal pattern and effecting factors of wildfire in eastern Mongolia

doi:10.7522/j.issn.1000-694X.2020.00136

Journal of Desert Research ›› 2021, Vol. 41 ›› Issue (2): 83-91.DOI: 10.7522/j.issn.1000-694X.2020.00136

Previous Articles Next Articles

Spatiotemporal pattern and effecting factors of wildfire in eastern Mongolia

Shuxing Xu¹(), Qianqian Wu¹, Dianxue Qiao², Yinglin Mu², Xiao Zhang¹, Yanshu Liu¹, Xiaohui Yang¹, Zhongjie Shi¹()

^1.Institute of Desertification Studies，Chinese Academy of Forestry Sciences，Beijing 100091，China
^2.Administration of Weina River Nature Reserve of Inner Mongolia，Ewenki Autonomous Banner 021100，Inner Mongolia，China

Received:2020-10-21 Revised:2020-12-27 Online:2021-03-20 Published:2021-03-26
Contact: Zhongjie Shi

Abstract

Abstract:

The spatial and temporal dynamics and influencing factors of wildfires in eastern Mongolia from 2001 to 2017 were studied by using the method of spatial statistical and correlation analysis. The results show that：（1） The wildfires mainly occurred from April to June， and the wildfires is also serious in October. Within a year， the wildfires occur mainly in the three periods： 107-127，145-189 and 279-301 of the day of year. From 2001 to 2017， the area of wildfire in eastern Mongolia fluctuated greatly from year to year， and the peak years of wildfire occurred in 2003， 2007， 2011， 2012 and 2015；（2）Wildfire mainly occurs in Dornod， Kent， Sukhbator， Selengge and Central provinces； Grassland wildfires were the main type in eastern Mongolia；（3）The area of wildfire is mainly affected by precipitation， air temperature and vegetation. The burned areas in March is positively correlated with the drought of the three months， and the burned area in June and July is positively correlated with the temperature of the current month， while the burned area in September is negatively correlated with the precipitation of the current month； In addition， the fire area in spring was significantly related to the vegetation in the autumn of the previous year， and the fire area in winter was significantly related to the temperature in the current season；（4）The wildfires in this area were closely affected by the atmospheric circulation in the eastern part of Mongolia. The burned area is negatively related to the average Arctic Oscillation （AO） accumulated in three months in April， and in July， the burned area is positively related to the average North Pacific decadal Oscillation （PDO） accumulated in three months. There was a significant negative correlation between the area of fire in September and the average North Atlantic Oscillation （NAO） accumulated in three months. There was a significant negative correlation between the fire area in November and the accumulated average Southern Oscillation Index （SOI） in three months， and a significant positive correlation between the over fire area and the accumulated average North Pacific decadal Oscillation （PDO） in three months. The burned area on the annual scale is significantly affected by NAO.

Key words: wildfire, spatiotemporal dynamics, influence factors, atmospheric circulation, Mongolia

CLC Number:

Shuxing Xu, Qianqian Wu, Dianxue Qiao, Yinglin Mu, Xiao Zhang, Yanshu Liu, Xiaohui Yang, Zhongjie Shi. Spatiotemporal pattern and effecting factors of wildfire in eastern Mongolia[J]. Journal of Desert Research, 2021, 41(2): 83-91.

Figures/Tables 9

References 20

1	Hicke J A，Johnson M C，Hayes J L，et al.Effects of bark beetle-caused tree mortality on wildfire［J］.Forest Ecology and Management，2012，271：81-90.
2	Bowman D M J S，Balch J K，Artaxo P.Fire in the earth system［J］.Science，2009，324（5926）：481-484.
3	Stevens‐Rumann C S，Kemp K B，Higuera P E，et al.Evidence for declining forest resilience to wildfires under climate change［J］.Ecology Letters，2018，21（2）：243-252.
4	郑琼，邸雪颖，金森.伊春地区 1980—2010 年森林火灾时空格局及影响因子［J］.林业科学，2013，49（4）：157-163.
5	苏立娟，何友均，陈绍志.1950—2010年中国森林火灾时空特征及风险分析［J］.林业科学，2015，51（1）：88-96.
6	Yan X，Ohara T，Akimoto H.Bottom-up estimate of biomass burning in mainland China［J］.Atmospheric Environment，2006，40（27）：5262-5273.
7	Chuvieco E，Mouillot F，van d W G R，et al.Historical background and current developments for mapping burned area from satellite earth observation［J］.Remote Sensing of Environment，2019，225：45-64.
8	乔泽宇，房磊，张悦楠，等.2001—2017年我国森林火灾时空分布特征［J］.应用生态学报，2020，31（1）：55-64.
9	覃先林，陈小中，钟祥清，等.我国森林火灾预警监测技术体系发展思考［J］.林业资源管理，2015（6）：45-48.
10	贾旭，高永，齐呼格金，等.基于MODIS数据的内蒙古野火时空变化特征［J］.中国生态农业学报，2017（1）：127-135.
11	包刚，包玉龙，包玉海.2001-2012年蒙古高原火行为时空格局变化趋势［C］//风险分析和危机反应中的信息技术：中国灾害防御协会风险分析专业委员会第六届年会论文集.2014.
12	曲熠鹏，郑淑霞，白永飞.蒙古高原草原火行为的时空格局与影响因子［J］.应用生态学报，2010，21（4）：807-813.
13	Ing S K.The social conditions of wildfire in Mongolia［J］.International Forest Fire News，1999，21：75-80.
14	丽娜，包玉龙，银山，等.中蒙边境地区草原火时空分布特征分析［J］.灾害学，2016，31（3）：207-210.
15	Milenković M，Yamashkin A A，Ducić V.Forest fires in Portugal：the connection with the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation （AMO）［J］.Journal of the Geographical Institute “Jovan Cvijić” SASA，2017，67（1）：27-35.
16	Macias F M，Johnson E A.Climate and wildfires in the North American boreal forest［J］.Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B：Biological Sciences，2007，363（1501）：2315-2327.
17	王冀，江志红，张海东，等.1957-2000年东北地区春季极端气温变化及其与北极涛动的关系［J］.气候变化研究进展，2007，3（1）：41-45.
18	Wang H.Linkage between the Northeast Mongolian precipitation and the northern hemisphere zonal circulation［J］.Advances in Atmospheric Sciences，2006，23（5）：659-664.
19	N’Datchoh E T，Konaré A，Diedhiou A.Effects of climate variability on savannah fire regimes in West Africa［J］.Earth System Dynamics，2015，6（1）：161-174.
20	Yang Q，Ma Z，Fan X，et al.Decadal modulation of precipitation patterns over East China by sea surface temperature anomalies［J］.Journal of Climate，2017，30（17）：7017-7033.

时段	指标	月份
时段	指标	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11
当月	降水	-0.35	-0.19	0.02	-0.31	-0.23	-0.25	-0.51^*	-0.38	-0.30
	温度	0.28	0.11	0.00	0.62^**	0.51^*	-0.35	0.39	0.31	-0.14
	scPDSI	0.47	-0.09	-0.02	-0.32	-0.37	0.25	-0.03	0.07	0.03
两个月累积	降水	-0.32	-0.42	0.03	-0.40	-0.24	-0.05	-0.35	- 0.18	-0.12
	温度	0.14	0.11	-0.15	0.41	0.28	-0.25	0.06	0.29	-0.10
	scPDSI	0.49^*	-0.07	-0.01	-0.30	-0.33	0.34	0.02	0.12	0.02
3个月累积	降水	-0.37	-0.41	0.06	-0.42	-0.32	0.12	-0.36	-0.15	-0.02
	温度	0.27	0.10	-0.15	0.42	0.21	-0.25	0.09	0.21	-0.13
	scPDSI	0.51^*	-0.06	-0.02	-0.27	-0.33	0.36	0.07	0.13	0.02

时段	指标	月份
时段	指标	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11
当月	降水	-0.35	-0.19	0.02	-0.31	-0.23	-0.25	-0.51^*	-0.38	-0.30
	温度	0.28	0.11	0.00	0.62^**	0.51^*	-0.35	0.39	0.31	-0.14
	scPDSI	0.47	-0.09	-0.02	-0.32	-0.37	0.25	-0.03	0.07	0.03
两个月累积	降水	-0.32	-0.42	0.03	-0.40	-0.24	-0.05	-0.35	- 0.18	-0.12
	温度	0.14	0.11	-0.15	0.41	0.28	-0.25	0.06	0.29	-0.10
	scPDSI	0.49^*	-0.07	-0.01	-0.30	-0.33	0.34	0.02	0.12	0.02
3个月累积	降水	-0.37	-0.41	0.06	-0.42	-0.32	0.12	-0.36	-0.15	-0.02
	温度	0.27	0.10	-0.15	0.42	0.21	-0.25	0.09	0.21	-0.13
	scPDSI	0.51^*	-0.06	-0.02	-0.27	-0.33	0.36	0.07	0.13	0.02

指标	季节
指标	春季	夏季	秋季	冬季
降水	-0.35	-0.19	0.02	-0.31
温度	0.28	0.11	0.00	0.62^**
scPDSI	0.47	-0.09	-0.02	-0.32

指标	季节
指标	春季	夏季	秋季	冬季
降水	-0.35	-0.19	0.02	-0.31
温度	0.28	0.11	0.00	0.62^**
scPDSI	0.47	-0.09	-0.02	-0.32

时段	指标	月份
时段	指标	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11
当月	SO	-0.45	0.01	-0.19	-0.16	-0.04	-0.34	0.01	0.16	-0.49^*
	PDO	0.23	0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.45	0.08	-0.40	0.00	0.39
	AO	0.23	0.32	0.32	0.14	0.14	-0.06	-0.01	0.13	0.20
	NAO	0.23	0.21	0.26	-0.22	-0.02	-0.16	-0.51^*	-0.07	0.22
两个月累积	SO	-0.19	0.01	-0.14	0.11	-0.03	-0.35	0.15	-0.04	-0.46
	PDO	0.15	0.07	0.00	-0.00	0.51^*	0.07	-0.44	0.12	0.50^*
	AO	0.15	0.50^*	0.06	0.27	0.11	-0.19	0.24	0.22	-0.07
	NAO	0.27	0.44	0.05	-0.01	0.03	0.07	-0.54^*	0.01	0.05
3个月累积	SO	-0.09	0.11	-0.07	0.17	0.07	-0.14	-0.04	-0.05	-0.49^*
	PDO	0.11	0.07	0.02	-0.04	0.59^*	0.07	-0.36	0.12	0.60^**
	AO	0.21	0.51^*	-0.16	0.36	0.37	0.38	0.25	0.18	-0.17
	NAO	0.32	0.43	0.04	0.10	0.07	0.37	-0.35	0.05	0.01

Spatiotemporal pattern and effecting factors of wildfire in eastern Mongolia

RichHTML

PDF

Knowledge

Abstract

Cite this article

share this article

Figures/Tables 9

References 20

Related Articles 15

Recommended Articles

Metrics

Comments

[1]	Yang Huaide, Feng Qi, Guo Xiaoyan. Variation of Groundwater Depth and Its Influence Factors in the Minqin Oasis in 1999-2013 [J]. JOURNAL OF DESERT RESEARCH, 2017, 37(3): 562-570.
[2]	Huang Yuxia, Wang Baojian, Wang Yanfeng, Huang Wubin, Wang Lin. Variation of East Asian Summer Monsoon and Its Influences on Summer Rainstorm Days in Gansu, China [J]. JOURNAL OF DESERT RESEARCH, 2017, 37(1): 140-147.
[3]	Peng Wenchang, Li Yongshan. Transport Characteristics of Water and Sediment from Different Sources in Inner Mongolian Reach of the Yellow River [J]. JOURNAL OF DESERT RESEARCH, 2016, 36(3): 805-813.
[4]	Ren Zhiyan, Yan Junping, Wang Pengtao. Spatio-temporal Variations of Precipitation Concentration Degree and Precipitation Concentration Period in Inner Mongolia [J]. JOURNAL OF DESERT RESEARCH, 2016, 36(3): 760-766.
[5]	Liu Chong, Zhao Tianliang, Xiong Jie, Liu Yu, Han Yongxiang, Liu Feng. A Simulated Climatology of Dust Aerosol Emissions over 1991-2010 and the Influencing Factors of Atmospheric Circulation over the Major Deserts in the World [J]. JOURNAL OF DESERT RESEARCH, 2015, 35(4): 959-970.
[6]	Liu Zhengyao, Dong Zhibao, Wang Jianbo, Dong Ruijie. Practice and Development of Deserticulture in Inner Mongolia, China: a view of ecosystem service system [J]. JOURNAL OF DESERT RESEARCH, 2015, 35(4): 1057-1064.
[7]	Fan Ying, Li Xiaoyan, Li Guangyong. Spatio-temporal Vegetation Variation in the Western Inner Mongolia Plateau Based on MODIS/EVI [J]. JOURNAL OF DESERT RESEARCH, 2014, 34(6): 1671-1677.
[8]	Zhao Guangping, Ma Li. Characteristics and Causes of Low-level Wind Shear's Evolution over the Eastern Part of Northwest China during 1953-2012 [J]. JOURNAL OF DESERT RESEARCH, 2014, 34(5): 1343-1352.
[9]	Tian Xiafei, Xue Xian, Liao Jie, Du Heqiang, Duan Hanchen, Xu Manhou. Land Use Change in the Watershed of the Ningxia-Inner Mongolia Reaches of the Yellow River During 1990-2010 [J]. JOURNAL OF DESERT RESEARCH, 2014, 34(4): 1167-1176.
[10]	Liu Kang, Li Zhaorong, Zhang Yu. Variation of Autumn Precipitation in Northwest China in 1971-2010 [J]. JOURNAL OF DESERT RESEARCH, 2014, 34(3): 805-813.
[11]	Dong Ruijie, Dong Zhibao. The Cooperative Development of Desert Tourism on the Ningxia-Inner Mongolia-Shaanxi-Gansu Adjacent Area of China [J]. JOURNAL OF DESERT RESEARCH, 2014, 34(3): 911-918.
[12]	Dele Gerima, Li Yiping, Han Jingwei, Qi Fuyu, Wang Gen. Comparative Analysis of Four Shear Rainstorm Processes in July of 2012 in Hetao Area of Inner Mongalia, China [J]. JOURNAL OF DESERT RESEARCH, 2014, 34(1): 233-243.
[13]	YANG Ping, YE Wei. Environment Changes of Sand Fields in Inner Mongolia, China since the Holocene Recorded by Sandy Paleosol [J]. JOURNAL OF DESERT RESEARCH, 2013, 33(6): 1670-1677.
[14]	YUN Jing-bo1, JIANG Xue-gong1, MENG Xue-feng1, HU Ying-hua1, HANG Yue-he1, SHI Jin-li2, ZHONG Xia1. A Comparative Analysis on the Typical Cases of the Cold Front and Mongolia Cyclone Dust Storms [J]. JOURNAL OF DESERT RESEARCH, 2013, 33(6): 1848-1857.
[15]	SHI Fu-xi1, SONG Chang-chun1, ZHAO Cheng-zhang2, ZHANG Jing2, SHI Li-li2. Dynamic of Service Value of Farmland Meta-ecosystem of Mountain, Oasis and Desert and Multiple Regression Analysis of the Influence Factors in the Hexi Corridor, Gansu, China [J]. JOURNAL OF DESERT RESEARCH, 2013, 33(5): 1598-1604.