|
|
|
| Multidimensional Gray Forecasting for Compositive Effect of Combating Desertification-Taking Hequ County in northwest of Shanxi province as example |
| JIA Ning-feng1, DUAN Jian-nan2, LI Xu-lin3, HAO Shou-chang4 |
1. College of Economics and Management, Shanxi University, Taiyuan 030006, China;
2. College of Resources and Environment, Hunan Agricultural University, Changsha 410128, China;
3. Agronomy Department, Laiyang Agriculture College, Laiyang 265200, Shandong, China;
4. Weather Bureau of Shanxi Province, Taiyuan 030002, China |
|
|
|
|
Abstract Taking Hequ county in northwest of Shanxi province as an example, we have formulated an evaluating index system for the compositive effect of combating desertification, and have forecasted the compositive effect and the spatial distribution characteristics with multidimensional gray evaluation model for every town of Hequ county in 2010. The 21 towns of Hequ County are regionalized into three types, namely, high effect type, middle effect type and low effect type. From the forecasting result it can be seen that the compositive effect of combating desertification in Hequ county is hopeful to reach a higher level as a whole, but has trend of polarization. Spatially, the relation between the effect types and the eco-economic regions is very weak, specially, in the middle hilly area and southeast high mountain area. These two regions have their special advantages and disadvantages in geographical and ecological condition, and are able to produce the best effect if the suitable measures are applied.
|
|
Received: 17 May 2004
Published: 20 October 2005
|
|
|
Cite this article:
JIA Ning-feng, DUAN Jian-nan, LI Xu-lin, HAO Shou-chang. Multidimensional Gray Forecasting for Compositive Effect of Combating Desertification-Taking Hequ County in northwest of Shanxi province as example. JOURNAL OF DESERT RESEARCH, 2005, 25(5): 711-715.
URL:
http://www.desert.ac.cn/EN/ OR http://www.desert.ac.cn/EN/Y2005/V25/I5/711
|
| No Suggested Reading articles found! |
|
|
Viewed |
|
|
|
Full text
|
|
|
|
|
Abstract
|
|
|
|
|
Cited |
|
|
|
|
| |
Shared |
|
|
|
|
| |
Discussed |
|
|
|
|
2005, Vol. 25 
