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中国沙漠 ›› 2004, Vol. 24 ›› Issue (5): 607-610.

• 研究论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

河西走廊东部沙尘暴预报方法研究

李岩瑛1,2, 李耀辉1, 罗晓玲2, 王汝忠3, 郭良才4   

  1. 1. 中国气象局兰州干旱气象研究所 甘肃省干旱气候变化与减灾重点实验室, 甘肃 兰州 730020;
    2. 甘肃省武威市气象局, 甘肃 武威 733000;
    3. 甘肃省民勤县气象站, 甘肃 民勤 733300;
    4. 甘肃省酒泉气象局, 甘肃 酒泉 735000
  • 收稿日期:2003-10-15 修回日期:2004-02-09 出版日期:2004-10-20 发布日期:2004-10-20
  • 作者简介:李岩瑛(1970-),女(汉族),甘肃武威人,理学硕士,主要从事天气预报及研究工作。E-mail:luoxiaoling.qxj@mail.china.com
  • 基金资助:
    中国科技部社会公益研究专项项目(2000DIA10031)"西北干旱区沙尘暴预警、服务系统研究"课题资助

Study on Forecasting Methods of Sand-dust storm in East of Hexi Corridor

LI Yan-ying1,2, LI Yao-hui1, LUO Xiao-ling2, WANG Ru-zhong3   

  1. 1. Key Laboratory of Arid Climatic Changing and Reducing Disaster of Gansu Province, Institute of Arid Meteorology, China Meteorological Administration, Lanzhou 730020, China;
    2. Wuwei City Meteorological Bureau of Gansu Province, Wuwei 733000, Gansu, China;
    3. Minqin County Meteorological Station of Gansu Province, Minqin 733000, Gansu, China;
    4. Jiuquan City Meteorological Station in Gansu Province, Jiuquan 735000, Gansu, China
  • Received:2003-10-15 Revised:2004-02-09 Online:2004-10-20 Published:2004-10-20

摘要: 利用我国沙尘暴多发区, 甘肃省河西走廊东部民勤、凉州区等五站近50a的气象资料, 详细分析了河西东部沙尘暴频繁发生的气象因素, 应用近20a的天气资料, 结合近50a的典型个例做出沙尘暴的长期、中期、短期和短时预报预警系统。研究结果表明: 长期预报取决于冬春季气温、降水量和大风日数; 中期依靠使用国内外数值预报产品; 短期与大气环流条件、分型指标有关; 短时临近预报与高空大风形势、地面上游有无大风沙尘暴天气有关。

关键词: 河西东部, 沙尘暴, 预报方法

Abstract: Based on the meteorological data of the representative stations from 1951 to 2000, this paper analyzed the meteorological causes of sand-dust storm frequently occurring in east of Hexi Corridor, a region of more sand-dust storms in China. A system of forecasting and warning sand-dust storms for long-term, middle-term, short-term and even shorter than 6 hours has been put forward by using the daily weather data of the past 20 years and combing with the typical sand-dust storm examples of almost 50 years. Research results show that yearly forecast has relation to temperature, precipitation and gale days from winter to spring; monthly forecast depends on the numerical forecast products in China and overseas; daily forecast relates to weather circulation conditions, differential indexes; within 6 hours now-forecast relates to the gale circulation in upper air, and the weather of gale and sand-dust storm in upwind region.

Key words: east of Hexi corridor, sand-dust storm, forecasting methods

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