Please wait a minute...
img

Wechat

Adv search
JOURNAL OF DESERT RESEARCH  2015, Vol. 35 Issue (3): 744-752    DOI: 10.7522/j.issn.1000-694X.2014.00060
    
Climate Change and Its Significance on the Runoff of Major Rivers in Gansu, China from 1961 to 2011
Hua Ting1, Wang Xunming1,2, Lang Lili2, Zhang Caixia1
1. Key Laboratory of Desert and Desertification, Cold and Arid Regions Environmental and Engineering Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou 730000, China;
2. Key Laboratory of Water Cycle & Related Land Surface Processes, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Science, Beijing 100101, China
Download:  PDF (4623KB) 
Export:  BibTeX | EndNote (RIS)      
Abstract  By employing grid data and observed records, the temperature and precipitation trends and their significances on runoff of rivers originated in most regions of Gansu Province were discussed. Trend analyses show that from 1961 to 2011, most of the study area experienced significant (p<0.05) increases in temperature, while there were opposing trends for precipitation in regions to the east and west of Wushaoling Mountain. Temperature and precipitation trends played different roles on the runoff among each sub-regions. Over the past five decades, due to the significant increases of precipitation, the Heihe River and Shulehe River originated in the west of Wushaoling Mountain has experienced significant increase in runoff; while due to the significant decrease in precipitation and temperature rise occurred in their drainage basins, the other rivers suffered from decreased runoff. In the whole regions, correlation analyses show that the runoff of rivers is more closely related with precipitation(R=0.735, p<0.0005) than that of temperature(R=-0.541, p<0.0005). At a large time scale, owing to the enhancements of evaporation motivated by temperature rise, there is an obvious decreasing trend in runoff of rivers originated in Gansu Province.
Key words:  arid regions      climate change      runoff     
Received:  12 May 2014      Published:  20 May 2015
ZTFLH:  P467  

Cite this article: 

Hua Ting, Wang Xunming, Lang Lili, Zhang Caixia. Climate Change and Its Significance on the Runoff of Major Rivers in Gansu, China from 1961 to 2011. JOURNAL OF DESERT RESEARCH, 2015, 35(3): 744-752.

URL: 

http://www.desert.ac.cn/EN/10.7522/j.issn.1000-694X.2014.00060     OR     http://www.desert.ac.cn/EN/Y2015/V35/I3/744

[1] Hu Z, Yang S, Wu R.Long-term climate variations in China and global warming signals[J].Journal of Geophysical Research, 2003, 108(D19):4614-4625.
[2] Osborn T J, Briffa K R.The spatial extent of 20th-century warmth in the context of the past 1200 years[J].Science, 2006, 311:841-845.
[3] Mann M E, Zhang Z, Hughes M K, et al.Proxy-based reconstructions of hemispheric and global surface temperature variations over the past two millennia[J].Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2008, 105(36):13252-13257.
[4] Karl T, Riebsame W E.The impact of decadal fluctuations in mean precipitation and temperature on runoff:a sensitivity study over the United States[J].Climatic Change, 1989, 15:423-447.
[5] Menzel L, Burger.Climate change scenarios and runoff response in the Mulde catchment (Southern Elbe, Germany)[J].Journal of Hydrology, 2002, 267:53-64.
[6] Huntington T G.Evidence for intensification of the global water cycle:review and synthesis[J].Journal of Hydrology, 2006, 319:83-95.
[7] Booij M J.Impact of climate change on river flooding assessed with different spatial model resolutions[J].Journal of Hydrology, 2005, 303:176-198.
[8] Gleick P H, Palaniappan M.Peak water limits to freshwater withdrawal and use[J].Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2010, 107(25):1115-11162.
[9] Piao S, Ciais P, Huang Y, et al.The impacts of climate change on water resources and agriculture in China[J].Nature, 2010, 467, doi:10.1038/nature09364.
[10] Vörösmarty C J, Green P, Salisbury J, et al.Global water resources:vulnerability from climate change and population growth[J].Science, 2000, 289:284-288.
[11] Vörösmarty C J, McIntyre P B, Gessner M O, et al.Global threats to human water security and river biodiversity[J].Nature, 2010, 467:555-561.
[12] Ma J Z, Wang X S, Edmunds W M.The characteristics of ground-water resources and their changes under the impacts of human activity in the arid Northwest China-a case study of the Shiyang River Basin[J].Journal of Arid Environments, 2005, 61:277-295.
[13] Fang C L, Xie Y.Sustainable urban development in water-constrained Northwest China:a case study along the mid-section of Silk-Road-HexiCorridor[J].Journal of Arid Environments, 2010, 74:140-148.
[14] Xiong W, Declan C, Lin E, et al.Future cereal production in China:the interaction of climate change, water availability and socio-economic scenarios[J].Global Environmental Change, 2009, 19:34-44.
[15] Hurd B, Rad-Rouhi M.Estimating economic effects of changes in climate and water availability[J].Climatic Change, 2013, 117:575-584.
[16] 丁永建, 叶柏生, 刘时银.40年来西北干旱区黑河流域降水时空分布特征[J].冰川冻土, 2000, 22 (3):193-199.
[17] 蓝永超, 丁永健, 沈永平, 等.河西内陆河流域出山径流对气候转型的响应[J].冰川冻土, 2003, 25 (2):188-192.
[18] Langbein W B.Annual Runoff in the United States[R].Washington, USA:U.S.Department of the Interior, 1949.
[19] 李金标, 王刚, 李相虎, 等.石羊河流域近50 a来气候变化与人类活动对水资源的影响[J].干旱区资源与环境, 2008, 22 (2):76-80.
[20] 王钧, 蒙吉军.黑河流域近60年来径流量变化及影响因素[J].地理科学, 2008, 28(1):83-88.
[21] 康尔泗, 程国栋, 蓝永超, 等.西北干旱区内陆河流域出山径流变化趋势对气候变化响应模型[J].中国科学(D辑), 1999, 29(增刊):47-54.
[22] 袁玉江, 桑修诚.甘肃省河西地区气候对流量影响的初步分析[J].高原气象, 1998, 17(2):211-217.
[23] 李林, 王振宇, 汪青春.黑河上游地区气候变化对径流量的影响研究[J].地理学报, 2006, 26(1):40-46.
[24] 蓝永超, 胡兴林, 肖生春, 等.近50年疏勒河流域山区的气候变化及其对出山径流的影响[J].高原气象, 2012, 31(6):1636-1644.
[25] 王建, 沈永平, 鲁安新, 等.气候变化对中国西北地区山区融雪径流的影响[J].冰川冻土, 2001, 23(1):28-32.
[26] Chen Y, Takeuchi K, Xu C, et al.Regional climate change and its effects on river runoff in the Tarim Basin, China[J].Hydrological Processes, 2006, 20:2207-2216.
[27] Xu C, Chen Y, Li W, et al.Climate change and hydrologic process response in the Tarim River Basin over the past 50 years[J].Chinese Science Bulletin, 2006, 51(Suppl.1):25-36.
[28] Zhang Q, Xu C, Tao H, et al.Climate changes and their impacts on water resources in the arid regions:a case study of the Tarim River basin, China[J].Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment, 2010, 24:349-358
[29] Shi Y, Shen Y, Kang E, et al.Recent and future climate change in northwest China[J].Climatic Change, 2007, 80:379–393.
[30] 李占玲, 徐宗学.甘肃省40年来气温和降水时空变化[J].应用气象学报, 2009, 20(1):102-107.
[31] Huang G, Liu Y, Huang R H.The interannual variability of summer rainfall in the arid and semiarid regions of northern China and its association with the northern hemisphere circum global teleconnection[J].Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 2011, 28(2):257-268..
[32] 胡兴林.甘肃省主要河流径流时空分布规律及演变趋势分析[J].地球科学进展, 2000, 15(5):516-521.
[33] 周群英, 黄长春.渭河流域全新世环境演变对人类文化发展的影响[J].地理科学进展, 2008.27(5):12-18.
[34] 张志强, 俆中民, 王建, 等.黑河流域生态系统服务的价值[J].冰川冻土, 2001, 23(4):360-367.
[35] 孙希科, 周立华, 陈勇.疏勒河流域气候变化情景下的适应对策[J].中国沙漠, 2011, 31(5):1316-1322.
[36] 许文海, 张永明, 陈刚.石羊河流域水资源利用现状及其持续利用对策研究[J].冰川冻土, 2007, 29(2):265-271.
[37] 马正耀, 胡兴林, 蓝永超, 等.1965-2010年白龙江上游径流变化特征研究[J].冰川冻土, 2011, 33(3):612-622.
[38] 杜克胜.嘉陵江上游西汉水镡家坝站径流量长期演变趋势研究[J].甘肃水利水电技术, 2010, 46(6):7-8.
[39] 聂文晶.洮河流域水沙特性分析[J].甘肃水利水电技术, 2012, 48(1):5-8.
[40] 陈剑霞, 黄维东.祖厉河流域年净流趋势预测分析[J].水利科技与经济, 2007, 13(12):920-921.
[41] 张淑兰, 王彦辉, 于澎涛, 等.人类活动对泾河流域径流时空变化的影响[J].干旱区资源与环境, 2011, 26(6):66-72.
[42] 牛最荣, 赵文智, 刘进琪, 等.甘肃渭河流域气温、降水和径流变化特征及趋势研究[J].水文, 2012, 32(2):78-84.
[43] 刘海猛, 石培基, 周俊菊, 等.石羊河中游径流损耗特征及其影响因素[J].地理科学进展, 2013, 32(1):87-94.
[44] 李卓仑, 王乃昂, 李育, 等.近50年来黑河出山径流对气候变化的响应[J].水土保持通报, 2012, 32(2):7-12.
[45] Rogers T S, Walsh J E, Rupp T S, et al.Future Arctic marine access:analysis and evaluation of observations, models and projections of sea ice[J].The Cryosphere, 2013, 7:321-332.
[46] Smit B, Pilifosova O.Adaptation to climate change in the context of sustainable development and equity[M].Cambridge, UK:Cambridge University Press, 2007.
[47] 刘俊峰, 陈仁升, 卿文武, 等.基于TRMM降水数据的山区降水垂直分布特征[J].水科学进展, 2011, 22(4):447-454.
[48] Zhai P, Sun A, Ren F, et al.Changes of climate extremes in China[J].Climatic Change, 1999, 42:203-218.
[49] Sha W, Shao X, Huang M.Climate warming and its implication on the natural boundaries in China since the 1980s[J].Science in China(Series D:Earth Sciences), 2002, 32(4):317-326.
[50] 武金慧, 李占斌, 沈中原.甘肃省近50年降水量及气候变化趋势研究[J].干旱区资源与环境, 2008, 22(11):24-29.
[51] 李占玲, 徐宗学.甘肃省40年来气温和降水时空变化[J].资源科学, 2011, 33(10):1877-1882.
[52] 赵庆云, 张武, 王式功, 等.西北地区东部干旱半干旱区极端降水事件的变化[J].中国沙漠, 2005, 25(6):904-909.
[53] 赵一飞, 张勃, 汪宝龙, 等.近54 a甘肃省河东地区气候时空变化特征[J].干旱区研究, 2012, 29(6):956-964.
[54] Chen F, Yu Z, Yang M, et al.Holocene moisture evolution in arid central Asia and its out-of-phase relationship with Asian monsoon history[J].Quaternary Science Reviews, 2008, 27:351-364
No Suggested Reading articles found!