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中国沙漠 ›› 2006, Vol. 26 ›› Issue (3): 329-335.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

气候变化和人类活动对我国荒漠化的可能影响

苏志珠1, 卢 琦1, 吴 波1, 靳鹤龄2, 董光荣2   

  1. 1.中国林业科学研究院/国家林业局林木培育重点实验室/中国防治荒漠化研究与发展中心, 北京 100091; 2.中国科学院 寒区旱区环境与工程研究所, 甘肃 兰州 730000
  • 收稿日期:1900-01-01 修回日期:1900-01-01 出版日期:2006-05-20 发布日期:2006-05-20

Potential Impact of Climatic Change and Human Activities on Desertification in China

SU Zhi-zhu1, LU Qi1, WU Bo1, JIN He-ling2, DONG Guang-rong2   

  1. 1.Chinese Research and Development Centre on Combating Desertification, Research Institute of Forestry/SFA Key Lab for forest Tree Breeding, Chinese Academy of Forestry, Beijing 100091, China; 2.Cold and Arid Regions Environmental and Engineering Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou 730000, China
  • Received:1900-01-01 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2006-05-20 Published:2006-05-20

摘要: 荒漠化和气候变化作为全球性的重大环境问题,科学界历来对此十分重视。我国是受荒漠化最为严重的国家之一。截止2004年,我国的荒漠化土地面积为263.62万km2,沙化土地面积173.97万km2,分别占国土总面积的27.46%和18.12%。与20世纪90年代中期至20世纪末的情况相比,荒漠化和沙化土地面积、扩展速度均出现减少和减缓的趋势,沙化土地已由90年代末每年扩展3 436 km2转变为每年减少1 283 km2。这是气候变化和人类活动综合影响的体现,也是国家加大生态工程建设力度和加大荒漠化防治投入的结果。我国未来气候变化和人类活动对荒漠化的扩展与逆转过程仍会产生影响。气候变化中的降水变化在大范围内控制着荒漠化土地的扩展与逆转过程,气候暖干化有助于荒漠化的发生与扩展,但在局部地区随着气温升高有降水增多的可能,有利于荒漠化土地的逆转。人类活动对荒漠化的影响有正反两方面的效应,特别是荒漠化地区人口增长以及对农牧产品等物质需求的增加而引起的不合理经济活动是不容忽视的。要遏止荒漠化的扩展,应采取适应与减缓气候干旱化对策,消除人为荒漠化因素,并积极整治荒漠化土地,从根本上促进荒漠化土地的逆转。

关键词: 气候变化, 荒漠化, 人类活动

Abstract: Climatic change and desertification are two of notable global environmental issues, which have been paid a good deal of attention by scientists. As one of the countries with relatively large areas of desert and desertified land in the world, China has 263.62×104 km2 desertified land and 173.97×104 km2 sandy desertified land, accounting for 27.46% and 18.12% of the total land territory respectively. Since the foundation of the PRC in 1949, Chinese government has attached great importance to combating desertification and made great progress. However, desertification in China developed fast under the effects of climatic change and human activities. Before 1999, the trend of desertification in China is expanding and speeding up as a whole, but rehabilitating in some partial area. On the basis of the survey for the typical grassland and desert-oasis region, the expanding speed of desertified land is 1 560 km2 per year from the later of 1950s to mid-1970s, 2 100 km2 per year from the mid-1970s to mid-1980s, about 2 400 km2 per year from the mid-1980s to early 1990s, and the annual expanding speed of desertified land is up to 3 436 km2 during 1994—1999 based on the second national survey of desertification.After 1999, the situation of desertification in China has a significant change, i.e. the area of desertified land gradually decreased, and desertification development represented obvious reverse trend. The result of the third national desertification survey shows that annual decrease area of sandy desertified land is 1 283 km2 during 1999—2004 period. The reason for the change should be attributed to the interaction of climatic change and human activities. The climate change, in particular the precipitation change in northern China and intensive human activities in the future could exert far-reaching impacts on desertification. The warm-drying trend might speed up desertification development, but regionally precipitation increasing could be in favor of the reverse of desertification. Human activities have positive or negative effects on desertification. Therefore, to control desertification measures should be taken to adapt and mitigate the effects of warm-drying climate, and to eliminate negative impacts from human activities, and to rehabilitate desertified land actively.

Key words: climate change, desertification, human activities

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