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中国沙漠 ›› 2001, Vol. 21 ›› Issue (s1): 53-57.

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

祁连山区近50a来的气温序列及变化趋势

蓝永超, 康尔泗, 张济世, 陈仁升   

  1. 中国科学院寒区旱区环境与工程研究所, 甘肃兰州 730000
  • 收稿日期:2000-09-12 修回日期:2000-12-15 出版日期:2001-12-31 发布日期:2001-12-31
  • 作者简介:蓝永超(1957-),男(汉族),四川资阳人,副研究员,主要从事寒区与干旱区水资源及出山径流中长期预报模型的研究工作。
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金重点项目(49731030);中国科学院寒区旱区环境与工程研究所知识创新工程项目(210016)资助

Air Temperature Series and its Changing Trends in Qilian Mountains Area since 1950s

LAN Yong-chao, KANG Er-si, ZHANG Ji-shi, Cheng Ren-shong   

  1. Cold and Arid Regions Environmental and Engineering Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou 730000, China
  • Received:2000-09-12 Revised:2000-12-15 Online:2001-12-31 Published:2001-12-31

摘要: 利用河西祁连山区东段乌鞘岭、中段祁连和西段托勒气象站20世纪50年代以来的气温观测资料分别建立了祁连山区东段、中段和西段三个区域的年及冬季(11~2月)、春季(3~5月)和夏秋季(6~10月)的气温时间序列,并对其变化特征和趋势进行了分析研究。结果表明:祁连山区的平均气温的变化既与全球升温存在着某种程度的一致性,又有着鲜明的区域和季节差异,具体表现为:冬季(11~2月)平均气温序列的上升趋势较年平均气温和其它季节平均气温更为显著,并且20世纪90年代为近50a来最暖的10a;总体上祁连山区的平均气温呈不连续地缓慢地波动状上升趋势,但升幅不是很大。因此,预计祁连山区平均气温的这种变化对出山径流将不会产生大的影响。

关键词: 气温, 径流, 祁连山区, 河西走廊

Abstract: Since the beginning of the past century, there is a calefacient trend for the global climate due to greenhouse gases such as CO 2 continually increasing. Especially in late 1900s the trend became obviously. On the background of global warming the air temperature in some region rises and in other some region drops. The different thermal conditions and the change of atmospheric circulation will consequentially result in the changes on distribution of precipitation and runoff. Rising of air temperature in a mountain area will reduce river flow in the same precipitation condition. Hexi Corridor Area in Gansu Province is one of the important commodity grain bases and heavy industry bases of China. Water resource is the principal factor restricting the development of society and economy in the area. Surface runoff in the Hexi Corridor area all originate from the Qilian Mountains. The temporal and spatial distributions of surface runoff as well as its amount at mountain's outlet have closely relationship with the air temperature variation in the Qilian Mountains area. So it is of the important significance to research the variation characteristics and the future trend of air temperature in the Qilian mountains area for programming, planning, developing and utilizing, and running and managing water resources in Hexi Corridor area. Based on the air temperature data since 1950s from three weather stations (the Wushaoling Station situated at the eastern section of Qilian mountain, the Qilian Station at the middle section and the Tuole Station at the western section) the air temperature sequences have been established for the three regions and for three seasons (winter: Nov. to Feb. in next year; spring: Mar. to May; and summer-autumn: June to Oct.). Analysis on the changing characters and its trend indicates that the air temperature variation in the Qilian Mountains area is in accordance with the global climate increasing in some extent, but possesses regional and seasonal differences. In details, the rising extent of winter mean air temperature is larger than that of yearly and other seasons' mean air temperature. As a whole, the variation on the mean air temperature in the Qilian Mountains area presents a discontinuously and tardily rising trend, but the rising extent is small. So it is forecasted that the variations on the mean air temperature don t possess a greater effect to the outflow from the mountains area.

Key words: air temperature, runoff, Qilian mountains area, Hexi Corridor area

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